Transformations of the resource management strategy of Ukrainian banks
Peculiarities of asset and liability management of Ukrainian banks in conditions of significant structural transformations of the resource base during the period of martial law. Problems and priorities in the management of bank assets and liabilities.
Рубрика | Банковское, биржевое дело и страхование |
Вид | статья |
Язык | английский |
Дата добавления | 04.09.2024 |
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University of customs and finance
Oles Honchar Dnipro national university
Transformations of the resource management strategy of Ukrainian banks
Olena Zarutska,
D. Sc. in economics, professor, head of the department of finance, banking, and insurance
Roman Pavlov,
candidate of economy sciences, associate professor of the department of economics, entrepreneurship and enterprise management
Tetiana Pavlova,
D. Sc. in philosophy, professor of the department of philosophy
Tetiana Grynko,
D. Sc. in economics, professor, dean of the faculty of economics
Oksana Levkovich,
candidate of economy sciences, associate professor, head of the department of finance, banking and insurance
Tetiana Hviniashvili,
candidate of economy sciences, associate professor, head of the department of economics, entrepreneurship and enterprise management
Dnipro
Abstract
This article examines the peculiarities of the management of assets and liabilities of Ukrainian banks in the conditions of significant structural transformations of the resource base during the period of martial law. The analysis is carried out at the level of homogeneous structural and functional groups of banks (SFGBs), which are formed using published reporting data and the application of Kohonen's self-organizing map (SOM). Accumulation of statistical data has been carried out for 5 years, special attention is paid to structural changes in the resource base and directions of placement of bank assets over the past two years.
Over the past two years, the bank has been under the influence of shock factors affecting assets and liabilities. At the beginning of 2022, there was an outflow of funds from bank accounts, which was gradually compensated by the inflow of current funds from corporations and the population of individuals. In 2023, the National Bank of Ukraine actively stimulated the development of the term resource base, the basis for ensuring the growth of credit operations. Transactions with state securities continue to grow in the structure of bank assets. The priority task of the banking system remains the financial support of business, but in the conditions of a full-scale war, such development of credit operations is limited. It is expedient to study the strategy of banks by combining the structure of assets and liabilities according to similar characteristics and analyzing the dynamics of groups. Observation of homogeneous groups confirms their stable nature, features of strategy, risk profile and development priorities. It has been proven that banks within homogeneous SFGBs demonstrate similar behaviour in the formation of management strategies and reactions to internal and external shocks. At the macro level, the SOM structure allows you to quantitatively assess the main processes taking place in the banking system, conduct comparisons with maps, and identify problems and priorities in the management of bank assets and liabilities. The SFGB method allows you to evaluate the trajectory of individual banks on the map and develop recommendations for improving the strategy of managing assets and liabilities.
Keywords: bank assets, bank liabilities, bank risks, structural and functional groups of banks, business model, market of banking services, banking system, Kohonen maps
Main part
bank asset liability management
The banking system of Ukraine has been formed for a long time under the permanent influence of economic crises affecting the resource base of banks. Each bank's response to external and internal shocks depends on its financial condition, business model and risk profile. Banks with similar structural and functional characteristics often demonstrate the same strategy and can be combined into homogeneous groups. The study of changes in the composition and characteristics of the SFGB provides useful information about the current state and place of each bank in the market of banking services.
The active development of the banking system in the early 2000s was accompanied by the entry of subsidiary banks of foreign banking corporations and their influence on the development of banking technologies. At that time, intensive consumer lending began, including in foreign currencies, which led to further problems. Before the crisis of 2009-2011, the system had about 200 banks, and the group of banks with an increased share of loans granted to individuals occupied an important place. The structure of the liabilities of banks with foreign capital has always been supported by the funds of the interbank market, which influenced the management strategy and was manifested in the configuration of the SFGB. After 2011, there was a deterioration in the quality of loan portfolios, an increase in the cost of borrowed funds and liquidity problems for a significant number of banks. At that time, problem banks were grouped into SFGBs with increased interest rates, loan reserves and negative financial results.
During the following period, until 2014, there was an increase in the assets and liabilities of banks. A partial loss of confidence of creditors and depositors was manifested in the structure of funds raised: current resources and funds in foreign currency grew at a faster rate. Lending was restored very slowly. Instead, homogeneous SFGBs with an increased share of assets in securities issued by the NBU grew.
During the 2014-2016 crisis, the banking market shrank significantly. Along with the financial reasons for the liquidation of banks, such factors as the non-transparent ownership structure of banks, increased operational risks, and the practice of conducting dubious operations with increased risks of money laundering and terrorist financing played an important role. The rapid withdrawal of a large number of banks from the market led to a further deterioration in the quality of assets of existing banks and loss of stability of their resource base. The formation of increased reserves for credit risks led to a loss-making financial result of the system, which was observed until 2017.
Since the beginning of the full-scale war, further transformations have been taking place in the conditions of banks' operations and their asset and liability management strategies. In the structure of bank assets, the amount of funds placed in government securities continued to grow, as the development of lending is very limited. The resource base remained quite unstable due to the preference for demand funds. Changes in operating conditions affected the composition and characteristics of homogeneous groups of banks. The group of banks with an increased share of consumer loans continued to shrink. Banks with foreign capital changed their lending strategy to expand operations with securities and placed interbank loans. The growth of the share of funds on current card accounts and the flow of resources to high-tech banks that introduce new banking products significantly affect the formation of homogeneous SFGBs.
We conducted a study of the types of financial management strategies within homogeneous SFGBs that have similar structural characteristics and risk profiles. The study of group dynamics provides clear information about the state of the system, volumes, configuration, and structure of the SFGB, allows to assess the current changes in the characteristics of the group and to build the trajectory of each bank to describe its strategy. The method can be useful for describing the structural transformation of the attracted and deployed resources of Ukrainian banks.
Features of asset and liability management of modern banks are studied in many publications by domestic and foreign authors (e.g.: [1; 5; 11; 15; 20; 26]). The priority areas of purposeful changes in the business architecture of the banking sector in the economy of Ukraine are proposed in the work of Kuznyetsova et al. (2020) [14]. The authors describe an approach to reducing systemic risks based on the study of risk appetite in groups of financial institutions with the same business models. Ways of forming a socially responsible banking business are being explored [14].
The management of financial and economic security of banks is considered in the work of G. Karcheva and I. Karcheva (2022) [6]. Proposed approaches to the management system of financial and economic security of banks, taking into account risks in the activities of banks. The integrated model is based on an effective risk management system, which monitors the availability of a certain safety potential (capital, liquidity, profitability, reserves) in banks, the possession of an adaptive (stabilizing) mechanism that would ensure the bank's return to a sustainable development trajectory.
Peculiarities of resource management under martial law conditions are also considered in the work of V.V. Kovalenko (2022) [13]. Approaches to responding to modern requirements in the new Comprehensive Program for Ensuring the Financial Security of Ukrainian Banks are described.
In the works of Onishchenko et al (2020), the structure of bank assets and liabilities is considered the basis of his business model [18]. The works of Kosova et al. (2020) are devoted to the issue of estimating the volume of deposits and loans, related income and expenses, as well as the profitability and efficiency of active and passive operations [12].
The work of Zhurakhovska and Lyashenko (2022) [30] is devoted to the formation of priority areas of the investment strategy of the banking sector in conditions of financial market instability. The study confirms the low investment activity of the banking sector and the predominant investments mostly in government securities.
Methods of anti-crisis management and ensuring the stability of banks are considered in the work of Zhovanetska (2016). Proposed approaches to the assessment of symptoms and factors of the crisis. Parameters of deterioration of assets and liabilities are considered [29].
Systemic analysis of current and future trends in the level of systemic risks and threats generated by the operational environment of the banking system, proposed in the work of Diakonova and Mordan (2015) [3]. The authors proposed to use the method of assessing financial stability, which is based on the complex calculation of a special indicator [3].
Justification of important changes in the management system of involved and deployed resources of Ukrainian banks during a full-scale war, for the period from November 1, 2021, to November 1, 2023. The research is conducted using the SFGB method, which allows to assess the migration of banks between homogeneous groups with their inherent financial characteristics.
We substantiated the use of the method of structural and functional groups (SFGB) with the help of SOM for the implementation of differentiated banking supervision in Ukraine and the analysis of the financial condition of banks [27]. The SFGB method is used to study the financial condition of banks and assess risk management at the level of individual banks, homogeneous groups, and the banking system as a whole [27; 28]. The practice of using the SFGB method in recent years demonstrates its effectiveness in assessing banks' strategies for managing assets and liabilities, trends in the development of bank operations, their impact on the risk profile, and current threats to financial stability. The method makes it possible to assess changes in the structure of the resource base of banks and directions of asset placement at a quantitative level. The increase in the number of banks in the respective SFGBs, and the growth of the total volume of their assets indicates the priority directions of development [27; 28].
For the study of multidimensional arrays and the formation of homogeneous groups, the use of neural network methods, namely, Kohonen's self-organizing maps [2; 10; 24]. The SOM method (Kohonen self-organizing maps) belongs to the class of neural network methods with unsupervised learning [7; 8; 9]. Formation of SOM (Kohonen self-organizing maps) is carried out with the help of Viscovery software Software GmbH. We use a system of 31 indicators calculated for all operating banks based on monthly reporting dates for the period from 01.01.2018 to 01.10.2023. The assessment of the structure of bank assets and liabilities and the development of the banks' resource management strategy is based on bank reporting data. Thanks to the monthly systematization and publication of these reports, the NBU can conduct an up-to - date analysis of this issue.
To calculate indicators - indicators of a grouping of banks, published reporting is used [17].
The choice of the indicator system is based on the work [27] and is determined by the reporting format.
The first group consists of 9 indicators that characterize the structure of the largest and most important assets of banks, 10 indicators - the structure of liabilities and 12 indicators that describe important qualitative characteristics that are necessary for the formation of homogeneous groups. The totality of all 31 indicators determines the peculiarities of the business models and risk profile of each bank [27].
Viscovery software Software GmbH, the multidimensional array of initial data is transformed into a two-dimensional SOM map. Figure 1 shows the general view of Kohonen maps at the beginning and at the end of the studied period.
Figure 1. Kohonen cards from 01.10.2021 to 01.10.2023. (Source: built by the authors on the basis of [17])
Homogeneous objects are located next to each other, combined into clusters with their own colour, reminiscent of an ordinary geographical map. A point on the map shows the position of a bank or several banks as elements of the initial array. The geographic location of objects on the map shows the characteristics of the objects: nearby points have many common characteristics, and the far distance on the map shows significant differences between objects [8; 9; 10].
The map construction algorithm takes into account the values of all indicators, which allows to reveal the hidden properties and connections of the structural elements of the system. The analysis of the values of the indicators of the group allows to describe the characteristic properties of each SFGB. For any card, the first three or four groups cover a large number of banks according to reports of different reporting dates. The corresponding banks have characteristics close to the average values of the system. Other groups are smaller in size, located near the borders of the map, and have certain characteristics. Objects with significant differences are located at a diagonal distance.
The choice of the indicator system is determined by the reporting format and is given in Table 1.
Table 1. Description of the system of indicators for calculating SFGB
No |
Name |
Content of indicators |
|
Asset structure indicators |
|||
1 |
SAV |
ratio of cash and cash equivalents to net assets |
|
2 |
SAMI |
ratio of funds in other banks in foreign currencies to net assets |
|
3 |
SAMN |
ratio of funds in other banks in national currency to net assets |
|
4 |
SAUI |
ratio of loans of legal entities in foreign currencies to net assets |
|
5 |
SAUN |
the ratio of loans of legal entities in national currency to net assets |
|
6 |
SAFI |
the ratio of personal loans in foreign currencies to net assets |
|
7 |
SAFN |
the ratio of loans of individuals in national currency to net assets |
|
8 |
SACI |
the ratio of the portfolio of securities in foreign currencies to net assets |
|
9 |
SACN |
the ratio of the portfolio of securities in the national currency to net assets |
|
Indicators of the structure of obligations |
|||
10 |
SPMI |
ratio of funds of other banks in foreign currencies to liabilities |
|
11 |
SPMN |
ratio of funds of other banks in national currency to liabilities |
|
12 |
SPUI |
the ratio of funds of economic entities in foreign currencies to liabilities |
|
13 |
SPUN |
the ratio of funds of business entities in national currency to liabilities |
|
14 |
SPUP |
ratio of funds of economic entities on demand to liabilities |
|
15 |
SPUS |
the ratio of fixed assets of business entities to liabilities |
|
16 |
SPFI |
the ratio of funds of individuals in foreign currencies to liabilities |
|
17 |
SPFN |
the ratio of funds of natural persons in the national currency to liabilities |
|
18 |
SPFP |
the ratio of funds of natural persons on demand to liabilities |
|
19 |
SPFS |
the ratio of term funds of individuals to liabilities. |
|
Other indicators |
|||
20 |
ROA |
profitability of assets |
|
21 |
RA |
the ratio of total reserves for credit risks to net assets |
|
22 |
CA |
ratio of balance sheet capital to net assets |
|
23 |
VCA |
ratio of net assets in foreign currencies to net assets |
|
24 |
VL |
open currency position, which is calculated as the difference between assets and liabilities in foreign currencies, relative to net assets |
|
25 |
L1 |
ratio of cash and cash equivalents to liabilities on demand |
|
26 |
As |
the share of net assets of this bank to the total net assets of the system |
|
27 |
PM |
interest margin, the ratio of net interest income to net assets |
|
28 |
KD |
the ratio of net commission income to net assets |
|
29 |
TD |
the ratio of trading results to net assets |
|
30 |
VA |
the ratio of administrative and other operating expenses to net assets |
|
31 |
VR |
the ratio of expenses for the formation of reserves for credit risks to net assets |
The first group consists of 9 indicators that characterize the structure of the largest and most important assets of banks, 10 indicators - the structure of liabilities and 12 indicators that describe important qualitative characteristics that are necessary for the formation of homogeneous groups. The totality of all 31 indicators determines the peculiarities of the business models and risk profile of each bank.
Table 2 shows the average values of 31 indicators for 10 groups where banks were located at the beginning of the selected period. The maximum values of the indicators, which highlight the significant differences of each group, are highlighted in colour. Elevated values of indicators are determined by comparison with the average level of indicators given in the last column of Table 1.
Table 2. Average indicators of SFGB as of 01.10.21. (Source: calculated by the authors based on published reports [17])
Indexes |
Average values for SFGB with the corresponding number (%) |
Total |
|||||||||||
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
||||
1 |
L1 |
26.9 |
15.0 |
20.7 |
39.8 |
7.5 |
12.9 |
24.0 |
13.8 |
64.3 |
19.4 |
22.4 |
|
2 |
SAV |
8.5 |
6.4 |
6.7 |
11.2 |
5.0 |
8.4 |
6.8 |
5.8 |
4.3 |
3.8 |
7.0 |
|
3 |
SAMI |
8.5 |
12.7 |
9.2 |
5.3 |
29.8 |
19.7 |
6.7 |
9.4 |
24.7 |
6.1 |
11.2 |
|
4 |
SAMN |
0.8 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
|
5 |
SAUI |
7.8 |
18.1 |
16.1 |
0.8 |
2.6 |
8.6 |
4.6 |
9.9 |
26.0 |
3.0 |
9.0 |
|
6 |
SAUN |
26.3 |
33.2 |
27.6 |
18.2 |
14.8 |
23.9 |
12.8 |
11.3 |
5.8 |
2.1 |
19.9 |
|
7 |
SAFI |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
8 |
SAFN |
12.0 |
2.1 |
12.3 |
1.5 |
0.0 |
7.3 |
1.7 |
6.2 |
0.1 |
66.3 |
7.1 |
|
9 |
SACI |
2.5 |
3.5 |
5.4 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
3.1 |
2.1 |
6.0 |
0.0 |
0.8 |
2.8 |
|
10 |
SACN |
20.2 |
16.4 |
10.0 |
42.6 |
33.9 |
23.5 |
52.8 |
27.1 |
21.1 |
6.4 |
30.5 |
|
11 |
RA |
6.8 |
4.2 |
5.3 |
5.5 |
0.4 |
1.9 |
4.1 |
23.7 |
210.6 |
27.0 |
11.8 |
|
12 |
As |
0.4 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.6 |
0.2 |
13.9 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
1.4 |
|
13 |
VCA |
22.2 |
36.0 |
33.0 |
12.8 |
38.7 |
33.6 |
17.4 |
26.4 |
51.7 |
11.2 |
26.0 |
|
14 |
VL |
1.7 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
-7.4 |
-1.8 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
|
15 |
SPMI |
0.1 |
3.5 |
1.2 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
45.9 |
0.1 |
2.3 |
|
16 |
SPMN |
4.7 |
6.8 |
7.0 |
1.8 |
0.1 |
4.8 |
36.6 |
5.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
13.4 |
|
17 |
SPUI |
8.1 |
18.1 |
13.2 |
12.7 |
42.4 |
14.8 |
8.7 |
9.2 |
1.9 |
3.7 |
13.4 |
|
18 |
SPUN |
36.2 |
34.5 |
28.4 |
52.4 |
54.9 |
36.4 |
28.9 |
23.5 |
4.9 |
10.3 |
33.3 |
|
19 |
SPUP |
28.7 |
40.3 |
30.2 |
61.6 |
75.7 |
46.0 |
29.8 |
24.6 |
6.2 |
9.6 |
36.8 |
|
20 |
SPUS |
15.6 |
12.3 |
11.4 |
3.5 |
21.6 |
5.1 |
7.8 |
8.1 |
0.6 |
4.4 |
9.9 |
|
21 |
SPFI |
17.3 |
14.4 |
18.9 |
4.8 |
0.4 |
24.0 |
8.5 |
16.0 |
4.0 |
8.6 |
11.9 |
|
22 |
SPFN |
28.3 |
12.4 |
22.7 |
5.0 |
0.8 |
16.3 |
10.4 |
30.2 |
3.3 |
71.5 |
16.5 |
|
23 |
SPFP |
15.3 |
15.0 |
13.5 |
7.7 |
0.6 |
35.3 |
7.1 |
21.9 |
5.5 |
13.1 |
12.4 |
|
24 |
SPFS |
30.3 |
11.7 |
28.1 |
2.1 |
0.5 |
5.1 |
11.9 |
24.3 |
1.8 |
67.0 |
16.0 |
|
25 |
CA |
24.0 |
15.2 |
13.2 |
55.2 |
14.9 |
17.0 |
14.4 |
9.8 |
40.3 |
16.9 |
19.8 |
|
26 |
PM |
7.5 |
5.1 |
5.1 |
6.9 |
3.4 |
4.8 |
4.1 |
5.0 |
3.9 |
25.5 |
5.9 |
|
27 |
KD |
3.2 |
2.0 |
2.7 |
4.5 |
0.7 |
2.2 |
2.6 |
3.0 |
1.0 |
2.7 |
2.5 |
|
28 |
TD |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
1.8 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
-1.2 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
|
29 |
VA |
9.4 |
4.8 |
5.7 |
12.6 |
2.7 |
6.2 |
7.2 |
3.8 |
7.9 |
14.8 |
7.2 |
|
30 |
VR |
1.2 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
-1.1 |
-0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
-6.6 |
7.8 |
0.7 |
|
31 |
ROA |
2.3 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.1 |
0.5 |
3.1 |
6.6 |
5.8 |
1.8 |
Table 3 provides information on the number of banks in each SFGB, the total assets of these banks and the largest values of the indicators. The indicators of the maximum values of the asset indicators describe the peculiarities of the structure of the allocation of resources in the corresponding group, in comparison with the average level in the system. Similarly, the priority areas for attracting funds are evaluated using the increased values of the indicators of the structure of obligations. The third group of indicators includes increased values of other indicators that supplement the description of each SFGB.
Table 3. Distribution of banks by SFGB as of 01.10.21. (Source: calculated by the authors based on published reports [17])
Group number |
Number of banks |
Assets, million hryvnias |
Indicators of maximum indicators |
|||
Assets |
obligations |
others |
||||
1 |
8 |
65,057 |
SAUN (corporate loans) |
SPFN, SPUS, SPFS (term resources) |
- |
|
2 |
12 |
402,767 |
SAUI, SAUN (corporate loans) |
SPUP, SPUI (Current Enterprise Resources) |
VCA |
|
3 |
7 |
283,633 |
SAUN (corporate loans) |
SPFS, SPFI (retail resources) |
VCA |
|
4 |
6 |
7,952 |
SAV, SACN (securities, highly liquid) |
SPUN, SPUP (corporate resources) |
L1, CA, VA, KD |
|
5 |
5 |
60,409 |
THEMSELVES, SACN (securities, interbank loans) |
SPUI, SPUN, SPUP, SPUS (corporate resources) |
VCA |
|
6 |
5 |
151,589 |
SAUN (corporate loans) |
SPFI, SPUP, SPFP (current resources) |
VCA |
|
7 |
20 |
95,428 |
SACN (securities) |
SPMN (interbank resources) |
- |
|
8 |
3 |
804,978 |
SACI (Balanced Structure) |
SPFN, SPFS, SPFP (retail resources) |
As, VL, RA |
|
9 |
2 |
38,618 |
SAUI (corporate loans) |
SPMI (interbank resources) |
L1, RA, VCA, CA, ROA |
|
10 |
3 |
21,486 |
SAFN (retail loans) |
SPFN, SPFS (retail resources) |
RA, RM, VR, VA, ROA |
|
Sum |
71 |
1,931,916 |
- |
- |
- |
Let's consider the characteristics of each group of banks as of 01.10.21 to analyze further changes in the characteristics and volumes of SFGBs over the next two years.
The group of banks numbered 1 occupies a large part in the southeast and centre of the map in the first part of Figure 1. As the values of Table 1 and Table 2 show, banks of the first group have increased values of SAUN among the structural indicators of assets, SPUS, SPFN, SPFS - in liabilities. Other indicators of this SFGB are within average values. In comparison with other SFGBs, the majority of the assets of banks of the first group can be defined as corporate loans, and liabilities - as term resources.
The group of banks numbered 2 is located in the centre and northwest of the map in Figure 1. Among the indicators regarding the structure of bank assets, the SAUI/SAUN indicators, which characterize the preference for corporate loans, are of increased importance. SPUP, SPUI indicators, which characterize the advantage of current corporate resources in foreign currencies, have an increased value in the structure of liabilities. The increased value of the ratio of net assets in foreign currencies to VCA net assets requires attention to currency risk management.
Group 3 is in the centre and northeast of the map. The increased value has the same SAUN indicator, which characterizes the direction of corporate loans. SPFS and SPFI indicators, which characterize the direction of retail resources, have an increased value in the structure of liabilities. Also, the VCA indicator has an increased value.
Thus, banks belonging to groups 1, 2 and 3 occupy the central part of the map. The geographical proximity of these SFGBs indicates the presence of common features. The assets of these banks are directed to corporate lending. The resource base of each group has certain features.
Between groups 2 and 3 in the central and northern part of the map is group 6, which is smaller in size and has fewer banks. In the structure of assets of banks of group 6, the SAUN indicator, which corresponds to the direction of corporate loans, has increased importance. In the structure of obligations, SPFI, SPUP, SPFP indicators, which can be classified as current resources, are of increased importance.
Central groups 1, 2, 3 and 6 as of 01.10.21 include 32 out of 71 banks or 45% of the total number. The combined assets of the respective banks make up 47% of the system's assets. Bank assets are focused on corporate lending, as evidenced by the increased SAUN indicator. The liabilities of banks in the central part of the map can be distributed from east to west - from the preference of funds of individuals in group 3 in the eastern part of the map to corporate clients in the western part of the map in group 2. The central part with groups 1 and 6 has a mixed resource base.
From the banks of the central part, we will move to the groups on the borders of the map. In the eastern part of the map, there are banks with the advantage of attracting funds from individuals. Group number 8 occupies the northeast corner of the map, and another group in the southeast corner is number 10. Although the groups are almost identical in size, the banks of these groups have significant differences. It is the difference of the SFGB that leads to the remote location of the groups.
Group 8 in the north-east of the map includes the largest state-owned banks. Throughout the study period, the 2-3 largest banks were combined in a corresponding group on the side of the map where retail resources prevail. For the largest banks, the structure of banking assets is typical and coincides with the average indicators of the system. The exception is only the increased value of the SACI indicator, but the level of the ratio of the portfolio of securities in foreign currencies to net assets is only 6%. Although the increased share of banks' investments in foreign securities in wartime conditions attracts public attention, the indicator is not key in the resource management strategy and is only 3% on average.
As of 01.10.21, the three largest banks (42% of the total assets of the banking system) are located in group 8. It is obvious that the As indicator is the largest in the system. In addition, the level of RA is elevated, which indicates a poor-quality loan portfolio. The VL indicator has the largest negative value by module, which indicates an increased open short currency position, and an excess of liabilities in foreign currencies over assets. The currency risk of these banks needs to be controlled.
Group 10 in the Southeast includes banks that are focused on retail lending with an increased level of loans to individuals SAFN and attracting retail resources, in particular SPFN/SPFS. The values of the corresponding indicators reach the maximum level in the system. The group of retail banks has shrunk significantly over the past decades. Retail banks traditionally have a higher level of RM interest margin and VA administrative costs. High values of RA and VR indicate increased credit risks. At the same time, retail banks have one of the highest levels of ROA.
In the southwestern corner of the map, there are banks of groups numbered 4, 5, and 7, which have many common characteristics and significant differences from other groups, namely, the increased value of the SACN indicator in the structure of assets. These groups include 31 banks, the total assets of which occupy only 8% of the assets of the system.
Group 4 borders Group 1 and is located in the southwest, closer to the centre of the map. In addition to the increased SACN ratio (43% in assets), the level of SAV and L1 is high. Banks have excess highly liquid assets. In the structure of liabilities of banks of this group, corporate resources are of increased importance - SPUN, SPUP indicators, current funds of legal entities and liabilities in national currency. The values of the KD and VA indicators, which characterize the business model of the respective banks, are elevated. The CA indicator has the maximum value in the system. The ratio of balance sheet capital to net assets is high in small banks, which ensures the growth of assets and liabilities at rates adequate to the regulatory minimum capital. Note that the small banks of group 4 are located at a diametrical distance from the largest banks of group 8, which confirms the influence of the features of SFGB on the topology of the map.
Group 7 occupies a corner position in the southwestern part of the map. In the structure of bank assets, the share of SACN securities is as much as 53%. The structure of banks' liabilities shows increased values of SPMN. Banks of this group attract refinancing resources to place most of their assets in government securities. It is this strategy that significantly distinguishes the business model of Group 7 banks as of 01.10.21.
Group 5 is located on the western border of the map, to the north of group 7. The average value of the SACN indicator exceeds a third and is almost equal to the SAMI indicator - the share of assets placed on the interbank market in foreign currency. In the structure of liabilities of the banks of this group, corporate resources of all kinds are of increased importance. The increased value has the ratio of net assets in foreign currencies to net assets of VCA. Group 5 mainly includes banks with foreign capital. With the limited development of lending, the main areas of allocation of funds of these banks are government securities and the interbank market, mainly the parent structures of banks of foreign groups.
The last group at number 9 is in the northwest corner of the map and is quite different from the others. As of October 1, 2021, this group included 2 banks with Russian capital that were on the verge of bankruptcy and therefore showed extreme values of many indicators. Banks were withdrawn from the market in the first days of the full-scale invasion and their influence on the development of the system is insignificant.
Thus, as of October 1, 2021, the system of 69 Ukrainian banks, excluding 2 Russian banks from group 9, was distributed as follows:
¦ 32 banks of the central group, which accounted for 48% of the system's assets, had the advantage of corporate lending in the structure of assets and mixed types of resources, where the share of individuals and time funds increases from the west to the east of the map;
¦ 3 largest banks in the north-east of the map with assets amounting to 43% in the system, had diversified assets distributed between corporate loans and government securities and a significant share of retail resources;
¦ 31 banks in the southwest of the map by assets in the amount of 9% of the system with increased assets in state securities and corporate resources and attracted refinancing funds;
¦ 3 banks in the southeast of the map by assets, less than 1% with retail assets and liabilities.
Let's consider the changes in the resource management strategy of banks that took place two years later, as of 01.10.23. Qualitative changes in the system can be assessed using the quantitative assessment of the size of SFGBs, their position on the map, and the average values of their indicators. Differences in the characteristics of SFGBs indicate changes in the management of the resources of Ukrainian banks involved and placed.
The location of SFGB on the map as of 01.10.23 is presented in the second part of Figure 1. The topology of this map differs from the previous one, as most banks are concentrated in two central groups numbered 1 and 2, the zone of concentration of banks has moved from the west to the east of the map. Topology changes are partly related to uncontrollable technical reasons for the grouping of homogeneous objects by the values of all indicators at the same time, without taking into account the orientation of the maps of previous periods. However, in the end, the new groups objectively reflect the consequences of the development of bank management strategies. Banks with the same resource management strategies continue to be next to each other in any map orientation. With all the differences in the position of groups of banks, one can observe the synchronous transition of the majority of banks to new groups and interpret their migration on the map. Observation of migration makes it possible to describe the SFGB, find out the reasons for the transition of specific banks, and give an assessment of overall changes in the system.
Let's consider the specific characteristics of SFGB using the values of the selected indicators. Table 4 shows the average values of indicators as of 01.10.23, similarly to Table 2 for the previous period, increased indicators are highlighted in colour.
Table 4. Average indicators of SFGB as of 01.10.23. (Source: calculated by the authors based on published reports [17])
Indexes |
Average values for SFGB with the corresponding number (%) |
System |
|||||||||||
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
12 |
|||
L1 |
20.7 |
25.9 |
26.6 |
39.1 |
13.1 |
63.2 |
36.4 |
27.8 |
53.2 |
21.0 |
28.9 |
31.9 |
|
SAV |
10.6 |
9.9 |
8.7 |
7.5 |
4.5 |
4.4 |
9.4 |
9.8 |
8.6 |
12.5 |
7.4 |
9.3 |
|
SAMI |
15.7 |
6.5 |
8.3 |
3.4 |
1.9 |
4.6 |
6.0 |
19.3 |
36.4 |
10.3 |
5.1 |
11.2 |
|
SAMN |
0.5 |
1.2 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
|
SAUI |
11.3 |
5.2 |
25.9 |
9.0 |
2.4 |
0.0 |
2.5 |
3.2 |
0.9 |
3.9 |
2.6 |
6.7 |
|
SAUN |
16.5 |
13.9 |
14.4 |
33.6 |
31.1 |
8.6 |
1.8 |
8.9 |
10.7 |
10.2 |
3.5 |
14.1 |
|
SAFI |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
SAFN |
3.1 |
2.6 |
5.4 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
47.4 |
0.6 |
0.0 |
6.6 |
0.1 |
3.8 |
|
SACI |
6.1 |
2.7 |
2.0 |
0.0 |
2.8 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
5.2 |
1.3 |
3.2 |
|
SACN |
29.7 |
44.8 |
28.2 |
37.1 |
50.7 |
60.4 |
24.1 |
47.5 |
40.7 |
29.6 |
68.7 |
40.5 |
|
RA |
6.8 |
6.4 |
11.6 |
17.3 |
6.7 |
7.3 |
52.6 |
3.9 |
1.6 |
19.5 |
5.9 |
8.6 |
|
As |
2.2 |
0.5 |
1.7 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
17.5 |
0.0 |
1.6 |
|
VCA |
35.0 |
17.0 |
37.6 |
14.0 |
8.9 |
7.3 |
11.9 |
27.8 |
39.0 |
20.8 |
11.7 |
23.4 |
|
VL |
0.4 |
-0.2 |
2.4 |
0.9 |
0.0 |
2.6 |
-0.6 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
-2.1 |
2.2 |
0.5 |
|
SPMI |
0.7 |
1.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.7 |
|
SPMN |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
15.4 |
2.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
2.1 |
0.0 |
30.2 |
1.7 |
|
SPUI |
16.3 |
9.1 |
10.0 |
3.0 |
2.3 |
6.7 |
0.7 |
24.2 |
39.6 |
8.6 |
3.1 |
12.7 |
|
SPUN |
38.7 |
53.8 |
37.6 |
30.9 |
52.9 |
33.3 |
20.7 |
65.2 |
43.8 |
19.9 |
30.9 |
44.3 |
|
SPUP |
41.4 |
42.5 |
30.5 |
22.7 |
37.5 |
30.3 |
12.7 |
41.8 |
52.8 |
23.9 |
30.4 |
38.4 |
|
SPUS |
13.6 |
20.4 |
17.0 |
11.3 |
17.8 |
9.7 |
8.8 |
47.6 |
30.6 |
4.7 |
3.6 |
18.6 |
|
SPFI |
19.0 |
9.3 |
21.7 |
20.0 |
8.3 |
5.5 |
13.7 |
2.9 |
2.1 |
15.7 |
16.7 |
12.2 |
|
SPFN |
16.7 |
19.6 |
16.0 |
41.4 |
19.3 |
17.3 |
58.5 |
2.4 |
10.6 |
50.6 |
13.8 |
19.3 |
|
SPFP |
21.0 |
9.2 |
9.3 |
11.4 |
5.6 |
10.3 |
18.4 |
3.4 |
1.7 |
45.1 |
23.0 |
13.7 |
|
SPFS |
14.8 |
19.7 |
28.4 |
50.0 |
22.0 |
12.5 |
53.9 |
1.9 |
11.0 |
21.2 |
7.5 |
17.8 |
|
CA |
13.9 |
17.8 |
18.7 |
44.6 |
19.6 |
73.9 |
19.2 |
15.6 |
11.2 |
12.5 |
51.7 |
22.9 |
|
PM |
6.5 |
6.8 |
5.5 |
12.0 |
5.5 |
12.9 |
22.4 |
6.9 |
7.3 |
7.6 |
3.6 |
7.9 |
|
KD |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
3.5 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
3.0 |
2.3 |
1.7 |
|
TD |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
1.5 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
1.7 |
28.6 |
1.3 |
|
VA |
5.6 |
8.7 |
6.6 |
11.0 |
7.6 |
14.8 |
11.2 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
4.2 |
34.3 |
7.9 |
|
VR |
1.0 |
-1.2 |
-0.5 |
2.3 |
0.7 |
-0.7 |
5.0 |
0.0 |
-0.1 |
-0.3 |
4.7 |
0.2 |
|
ROA |
2.8 |
2.3 |
5.2 |
1.6 |
0.7 |
3.8 |
8.4 |
4.7 |
5.0 |
7.7 |
2.1 |
3.3 |
Characteristics of the structure of placed and attracted resources, qualitative indicators, number and total assets of banks in groups are presented in Table 5.
Table 5. Distribution of banks by SFGB as of 01.10.23. (Source: calculated by the authors based on published reports [17])
Group number |
Number of banks |
Assets, UAH million |
Indicators of maximum indicators |
|||
assets |
obligations |
others |
||||
1 |
19 |
1,113,267 |
SAUI, SAUN (corporate loans) |
SPUP, SPUI, SPFP (current resources) |
VCA |
|
2 |
19 |
260,562 |
SACN (securities) |
SPUR, SPUN (corporate resources) |
||
3 |
2 |
90,203 |
SAUI (corporate loans) |
SPFI, SPFS (retail resources) |
VCA |
|
4 |
2 |
1,432 |
SAUN (corporate loans) |
SPFN, SPFI, SPFS (retail resources) |
CA, RA |
|
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