Demographic trends in Ukraine and its influence on the economy within the next 5 years
Ukraine on the world demographic map. Examination of the average wage in the country. Analysis of the dynamics of population. The impact of the demographic situation in the economy. Creating opportunities for business growth and economic activity.
| Рубрика | Экономика и экономическая теория |
| Вид | реферат |
| Язык | английский |
| Дата добавления | 21.01.2015 |
| Размер файла | 126,5 K |
Отправить свою хорошую работу в базу знаний просто. Используйте форму, расположенную ниже
Студенты, аспиранты, молодые ученые, использующие базу знаний в своей учебе и работе, будут вам очень благодарны.
Размещено на http://www.allbest.ru/
Demographic trends in Ukraine and its influence on the economy within the next 5 years
Demchenko Oleksandra
Marketing Class
Ms.Koessler- Collins
Table of Contents
Introduction
1. Ukraine on the world demographic map
2. The Impact on the economy
Works Cited
Introduction
Demographic trends reveal developments and changes in human population. Business leaders, marketers, and advertisers can have valuable understanding from demographic trends. Evaluating demographic trends for the area might reveal that there's a change in the population's average age, employment status, income, or wealth -- all of which would help businesses better target its customers and prospects.
1. Ukraine on the world demographic map
Average income
Average monthly salary in Ukraine equals to §250-300 USD
Ethnic groups
Ukrainian 77.8%, Russian 17.3%, Belarusian 0.6%, Moldovan 0.5%, Crimean Tatar 0.5%, Bulgarian 0.4%, Hungarian 0.3%, Romanian 0.3%, Polish 0.3%, Jewish 0.2%, other 1.8% (2001 census)
Decrease of population
Nowadays, in most developed countries there are stable trends to decrease of population size. Ukraine is one of these countries. As of December 2011 45.6 million people lived in Ukraine. In 1991 it was 52 million people. Thus during years of independence the population of Ukraine decreased by 6.4 million people. (research&branding group).
demographic population economy business
Figure 1. Dynamics of population size of Ukraine
Decrease of birth rate
Ukraine's fertility rate had been falling throughout the 1990s, reaching an all-time low of 1.1 children born per female by 1999. Although improving economy saw the fertility rate climb back to 1.4 by 2011, this is still significantly below the replacement level of 2.2.
Death rate
The death rates in Ukraine are very high. Mortality in Ukraine amounts to 15.2 whereas in countries of the EU, the number is 6.7 to every 1,000 of the population.
The mortality rate of men of working age in Ukraine is higher even than those countries whose gross national product (GNP) is 4-6 times lower than that of our country.
The State Statistics Committee of Ukraine estimates that Ukraine now has a deficit of almost 3.6 million men - with the average life expectancy for men now 62 years, a dozen years less than the corresponding figure for women.
Ageing of the population
The tendence of the population aging is present in Ukraine. The share of population aged 60+ in Ukraine has increased 2.2 times over the past 50 years. It is going to increase by 67% over the next 45 years, reaching the level of 35% of the total population.
On the other hand, during the next 50 years, the size of the working age population (aged 20-59) will shrink by 41%. (Lisenkova, 2009)
Figure 2
Emigration
In the period of 1994-2001, the quantity of people leaving the country for permanent residency abroad exceeded the quantity of people moving to Ukraine for permanant residency by 100-150 thousands of people.
For the time being this tendence has been dissipated and for the years of 2006-2011 a minute positive migration gain of the population of Ukraine was 14-17 thousands of people per year.
Figure 3 NATURAL GAIN. MIGRATION GAIN (violet line- natural gain, yellow line - migration gain)
2. The Impact on the economy
Due to the ageing of population, lack of men there will be more and more shortage of labour age population in Ukraine. Although labour shortages will increase wages and thus benefit consumers, lower competitiveness and output will negatively impact the country's long-term economic growth.
Within next 5 years the demographic situation will continue influencing economic of Ukraine: large part of GDP will be given to pensions, health care system, learning and retraining of personnel. This is already prompting policy changes in areas like retirement ages and the funding of long term care.
In an effort to relieve pressures on government expenditure, in July 2011 the Ukrainian government raised the female retirement age from 55 to 60 and the male retirement age of from 60 to 62.
On the other hand, there can be a positive impact of an ageing population, as it can create opportunities for business growth and economic activity. These include new growth sectors such as those servicing the very old, and a market for personal services. Consumers have already benefited from wages rising sharply as a result of labour shortages
· Monthly wages grew by an average 13.1% year-on-year in real terms between 2001 and 2011 (data for 2011 refers to the first three quarters) according to national statistics. Real annual disposable income per capita grew by 208.6% in the same period;
· However, higher wages have made Ukraine less competitive, so unless it moves toward higher value added activities, economic growth will slow down. (Euromonitor International, 2012)
Works Cited
1. (n.d.). Retrieved from research&branding group: http://rb.com.ua/eng/marketing/tendency/8229/
2. Euromonitor International. (2012, May). Retrieved from http://blog.euromonitor.com/2012/05/ukraines-population-in-rapid-decline.html
3. Lisenkova, K. (2009). The impact of population ageing on the economic development of Ukraine. Heriot-Watt University.
4. Research&branding group. (n.d.). Retrieved from demographic trends in Ukraine: http://rb.com.ua/eng/company/news/8230/
Размещено на Allbest.ru
...Подобные документы
The major structural elements of economic safety of a national economy branches. The structural analysis of economic activity. Share of wages in ВВП, of productivity of Russia and western countries. The essence of the economic taxes and their purpose.
статья [166,3 K], добавлен 12.04.2012The influence of corruption on Ukrainian economy. Negative effects of corruption. The common trends and consequences of increasing corruption. Crimes of organized groups and criminal organizations. Statistical data of crime in some regions of Ukraine.
статья [26,7 K], добавлен 04.01.2014Priority for the importance of Economy of Ukraine. Sources, functions, structure of income Household as a politico-economic category. Family income - the economic basis of reproduction. Levels of income of the population. The structure of family income.
реферат [22,5 K], добавлен 28.10.2011Defining the role of developed countries in the world economy and their impact in the political, economic, technical, scientific and cultural spheres.The level and quality of life. Industrialised countries: the distinctive features and way of development.
курсовая работа [455,2 K], добавлен 27.05.2015Directions of activity of enterprise. The organizational structure of the management. Valuation of fixed and current assets. Analysis of the structure of costs and business income. Proposals to improve the financial and economic situation of the company.
курсовая работа [1,3 M], добавлен 29.10.2014Identifing demographic characteristics of consumers shopping in supermarkets. Determine the factors influencing consumer’s way of shopping and the level of their satisfaction (prices, quality, services offered, etc in supermarkets and bazaars).
доклад [54,4 K], добавлен 05.05.2009A variety of economy of Kazakhstan, introduction of the international technical, financial, business standards, the introduction to the WTO. The measures planned in the new Tax code. Corporation surtax. Surtax reform. Economic growth and development.
реферат [27,2 K], добавлен 26.02.2012The stock market and economic growth: theoretical and analytical questions. Analysis of the mechanism of the financial market on the efficient allocation of resources in the economy and to define the specific role of stock market prices in the process.
дипломная работа [5,3 M], добавлен 07.07.2013Рrogress in adapting its economy from the Soviet model to a 21st century economy in the globalized market. Pension reforms, undertaken in 2011. Cancellation of grain export quotas and reversal of a proposal for the monopolisation of grain exports.
презентация [476,2 K], добавлен 08.04.2015Analysis of the causes of the disintegration of Ukraine and Russia and the Association of Ukraine with the European Union. Reducing trade barriers, reform and the involvement of Ukraine in the international network by attracting foreign investment.
статья [35,7 K], добавлен 19.09.2017Assessment of the rate of unemployment in capitalist (the USA, Germany, England, France, Japan) and backward countries (Russia, Turkey, Pakistan, Afghanistan). Influence of corruption, merges of business and bureaucracy on progress of market economy.
реферат [15,5 K], добавлен 12.04.2012Analysis of the status and role of small business in the economy of China in the global financial crisis. The definition of the legal regulations on its establishment. Description of the policy of the state to reduce their reliance on the banking sector.
реферат [17,5 K], добавлен 17.05.2016Prospects for reformation of economic and legal mechanisms of subsoil use in Ukraine. Application of cyclically oriented forecasting: modern approaches to business management. Preconditions and perspectives of Ukrainian energy market development.
статья [770,0 K], добавлен 26.05.2015Short and long run macroeconomic model. Saving and Investment in Italy, small open economy. Government expenditure and saving scatterplot. Loanable market equilibrium in closed economy in the USA. Okun’s Law in the USA and Italy, keynesian cross.
курсовая работа [1,6 M], добавлен 20.11.2013Theoretical aspects of investment climate in Ukraine. The essence of investment climate. Factors that forming investment climate. Dynamics of foreign direct investment (FDI) in Ukraine. Ways of improving the mechanism of attracting foreign investment.
курсовая работа [155,2 K], добавлен 19.05.2016Chinese economy: history and problems. Problems of Economic Growth. The history of Chinese agriculture. The ratio of exports and imports of goods and service to gross domestic product at current prices. Inefficiencies in the agricultural market.
курсовая работа [162,1 K], добавлен 17.05.2014Negative consequences proceeding in real sector of economy. Social stratification in a society. Estimation of efficiency of economic safety. The parity of the manufacturers of commodity production. Main problems of the size of pension of common people.
статья [15,4 K], добавлен 12.04.2012Socio-economic and geographical description of the United states of America. Analysis of volumes of export and import of the USA. Development and state of agroindustrial complex, industry and sphere of services as basic sectors of economy of the USA.
курсовая работа [264,5 K], добавлен 06.06.2014Concept of competitiveness and competition, models. Russia’s endowment. Engendered structural dominance and performance. The state of Russian competitiveness according to the Global Competitiveness Index. Place in the world, main growth in detail.
курсовая работа [1,2 M], добавлен 28.05.2014The necessity of using innovative social technologies and exploring the concept of social entrepreneurship. Analyzes current level of development of social entrepreneurship in Ukraine, the existing problems of creating favorable organizational.
статья [54,5 K], добавлен 19.09.2017
