Ownership structure and firm performance in emerging economies: the role of offshore locations

Features of developing and transition economies. Regression analysis of the ownership structure of offshore firms. Research on the impact of offshore on return on assets and sales. Analysis of the performance of Russian companies for 2004-2013 years.

Рубрика Экономика и экономическая теория
Вид магистерская работа
Язык английский
Дата добавления 30.08.2016
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Conclusions

In current paper we study the influence of the range of offshore ownership indicators on firm's performance in emerging economies using the empirical sample for 151 Russian companies for 2004 - 2013 years. Firstly, we find additional evidence of Russian ownership structure patterns that there is indeed a high share of offshore ownership, both ultimate anonymous one and intermediate non-anonymous. Secondly, we reveal that offshore dummy and number of offshores have significant negative effect on ROS, for ROA and Q Tobin performance measures only number of offshores in intermediate structure showed significant negative effect, while number of offshore countries influences significantly and positively all of the above performance indicators. Among other significant ownership variables included as controls are State Ultimate owner and Dispersed Ultimate owner dummies, Insider dummy, Share of undisclosed voting rights. We found the empirical evidence that offshore ownership has significant negative effect on ROS performance measure, while being negative and insignificant for ROA.

Total number of offshores in ownership structure has negative significant effect on both performance measures, while number of offshore countries where the owners are registered has positive significant influence on ROS and ROA. The first two facts correspond to the theoretical and practical knowledge of offshore effects on company's performance which lie in the increase in agency costs due to the asymmetry of information.

We then focus on companies with offshore ownership only and analyze the difference in influence on financial performance of offshore's country of origin, given that offshore ownership occurs. The analysis shows that level of secrecy ratio has significant negative impact on both ROA and ROS measures, meaning that on average, the less transparent the country of offshore or foreign ownership origin, the lower the efficiency of performance of offshore-owned companies.

The contribution of current research is thus, firstly, the analysis of current ownership patterns on Russian market as a representative country of emerging and transition economies. Secondly, we find empirical evidence of the proposition that offshore ownership by itself and through the fuzziness measured by number of total number of offshores in ownership structure has negative effects on firms' performance on developing markets, but that the diversification into several countries could have a positive effect.

Thirdly, we show that for offshore-owned firms there is the negative significant effect of level of transparency of the country where the owner is registered on performance. The latter may be helpful in the development of financial and economic theoretical models in the framework of corporate governance and even macroeconomic theories as well as for practitioners like beneficiaries of companies who seek to protect their property rights without loss in company's performance and policy makers who deal with the offshore ownership legislation issues.

Still, there are several limitations in current research which should be improved in future. Firstly, offshore ownership is proxied only by dummy, it would be also interesting to look at the extent of offshore ownership (develop the correct approach to calculate this in the framework of intermediate ownership structures) and the centrality of offshore firms in the ownership structure. So, one future direction of current research is enhancing the database both in terms of number of companies included as well as the range of indicators both of ownership structure and financial performance measures (particularly, Tobin's Q).

Secondly, although we already considered the endogeneity issue of ownership-performance relationship, there still a space for further discussion, for instance, addition of better instruments for the ownership structure such as pre-privatization indicators of company's performance.

Moreover, conditioning the offshore ownership concentration indicator added to the sample, one can analyze the determinants of it similar to what Gugler (2014) does for individual investor controls in order to find out whether the ownership has reverse causality with performance.

Thirdly, as we discuss the potential positive effects of offshore ownership structure, it might be interesting to reveal explicitly through which mechanisms this process can be enabled (i.e. which are the variables that moderate or mediate this effect). For instance, potential mediators of the positive influence of offshores in ownership structure on performance could be innovation and merging and acquisition (M&A) activities as they both connected with the need for higher levels of property rights protection or financial or legal infrastructure. Following this direction we can firstly analyze the relationship between offshore ownership structure and innovation and M&A activities as part of corporate governance strategy for Russian companies and then check if these strategic decisions indeed influence the relationship between offshore ownership structure and corporate financial performance.

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Appendix 1

Classification of offshore countries

Country

Region

OECD 2009 list

Original OECD Tax Haven list

TIEA

Sovereign country

Andorra

Europe

1

1

1

1

Anguilla

Caribbean

1

1

1

0

Antigua&Barb

Caribbean

1

1

1

1

Aruba

Caribbean

1

1

1

0

Bahamas

Caribbean

1

1

1

1

Bahrain

Middle East

1

1

1

1

Barbados

Caribbean

0

1

1

1

Belize

Central America

1

1

1

1

Bermuda

Pacific

0

1

1

0

British Virgin Islands

Caribbean

1

1

1

0

Cayman Islands

Caribbean

1

1

1

0

Channel Islands

Europe

1

1

1

0

Costa Rica

Central America

1

1

1

1

Cyprus

Europe

0

1

0

1

Dominica

Caribbean

1

1

1

1

Gibraltar

Europe

1

1

1

1

Grenada

Caribbean

1

1

1

1

Guatemala

Central America

0

0

1

1

Hong Kong

East Asia

0

1

0

1

Ireland

Europe

0

0

0

1

Isle of Man

Europe

0

1

1

1

Jordan

Middle East

1

0

0

0

Lebanon

Middle East

1

0

0

1

Liberia

West Africa

1

1

1

1

Liechtenstein

Europe

1

1

1

1

Luxemburg

Europe

0

1

0

1

Macao

East Asia

0

1

1

0

Maldives

Indian Ocean

1

1

0

1

Malta

Europe

0

1

0

1

Marshall Islands

Pacific

1

1

1

1

Mauritius

Indian Ocean

0

1

1

1

Monaco

Europe

1

1

1

1

Monserrat

Caribbean

1

1

1

0

Nauru

Pacific

1

1

0

1

Niue

Pacific

1

1

0

1

Panama

Central America

1

1

1

1

Samoa

Pacific

1

1

1

1

San Marino

Europe

0

1

1

1

Seychelles

Indian Ocean

1

1

1

1

Singapore

East Asia

1

1

0

1

St.Kitts

Caribbean

1

1

1

1

Saint Lucia

Caribbean

1

1

1

1

St.Vinc

Caribbean

1

1

1

1

Tonga

Pacific

1

1

0

1

Turks

Caribbean

1

1

1

0

USVirgin

Caribbean

0

1

0

0

Uruguay

South America

0

0

1

1

Vanuatu

Pacific

1

1

1

1

Appendix 2

Financial Secrecy Ratio historical values

Secrecy Jurisdiction

2009 FSI

2011 FSI

2013 FSI

2009 FSI Rank

2011 FSI Rank

2013 FSI Rank

Andorra

0.07

133.6207578

43.37763

57

45

74

Anguilla

0.08

36.04731967

96.76443

55

65

61

Antigua & Barbuda

0.08

88.46715871

60.47441

46

58

67

Aruba

0.28

124.9300921

113.3252

36

47

55

Australia

NA

NA

168.1538

NA

NA

44

Austria

42.32

453.4871247

400.8232

12

17

18

Bahamas

1.1

431.110463

226.8748

33

19

35

Bahrain

23.53

660.3148226

461.1659

14

10

13

Barbados

2.6

266.5653179

317.4745

28

30

26

Belgium

78.6

467.1602626

199.2665

9

15

40

Belize

0.2

198.3999755

129.8344

37

40

52

Bermuda

122.3

539.8775265

432.3802

7

12

14

Botswana

NA

121.2662673

98.99626

NA

49

60

Brazil

NA

NA

283.9142

NA

#Н/Д

29

British Virgin Islands

14.98

617.8850568

385.4457

16

11

20

Brunei Darussalam

0.1

45.79904958

50.63406

39

63

73

Canada

NA

366.1569807

418.5234

NA

24

17

Cayman Islands

403.48

1646.67297

1233.567

5

2

4

Cook Islands

0.08

13.39634467

25.26854

46

70

78

Costa Rica

0.51

177.2174434

157.6024

34

41

46

Curacao

NA

NA

106.41

NA

#Н/Д

58

Cyprus

11.59

406.5143262

198.9163

18

20

41

Denmark

NA

121.6806958

63.11788

NA

48

66

Dominica

0.1

12.45284756

26.94115

39

71

77

Dominican Republic

NA

NA

193.7889

NA

#Н/Д

42

France

NA

NA

190.9599

NA

#Н/Д

43

Germany

NA

669.7714873

738.3376

NA

9

8

Ghana

NA

146.8078402

109.9242

NA

44

57

Gibraltar

0.08

174.6427276

147.8179

46

43

49

Grenada

0.08

57.60750966

55.7658

46

61

70

Guatemala

NA

174.8035251

142.4216

NA

42

51

Guernsey

36.2

402.3383479

419.3564

13

21

15

Hong Kong

76.34

1370.740769

1283.445

10

4

3

Hungary

7.65

94.79689408

54.65056

22

56

72

India

NA

344.0421554

254.5711

NA

25

32

Ireland

143.73

264.2156913

155.5173

6

31

47

Isle of Man

5.79

230.4174787

237.258

24

36

34

Israel

10.37

230.2969209

205.9219

20

37

38

Italy

NA

231.1939797

118.9649

NA

35

54

Japan

NA

693.6381377

513.1047

NA

8

10

Jersey

76.22

750.1455758

591.7031

11

7

9

Korea

NA

317.1874912

328.7934

NA

28

24

Latvia

4.11

88.8864986

128.1165

26

57

53

Lebanon

2.65

397.3275649

747.8594

27

22

7

Liberia

0.08

316.8840234

300.8851

54

29

27

Liechtenstein

0.08

239.214042

240.963

55

34

33

Luxembourg

1127.02

1621.157151

1454.483

2

3

2

Macao

1.89

389.7947257

360.4904

29

23

22

Malaysia (Labuan)

7.2

319.2789828

471.6878

23

27

12

Maldives

0.06

78.45620857

21.05039

58

60

79

Malta

8.68

98.63070036

78.0526

21

54

64

Marshall Islands

0.08

457.0060042

329.6054

46

16

23

Mauritius

1.2

261.5523825

397.8627

32

32

19

Monaco

0.04

37.73045046

38.84132

60

64

75

Montserrat

0.06

50.1146765

0

59

62

82

Nauru

0.08

0

0

46

NA

81

Netherlands

23.18

199.6975153

204.929

15

39

39

New Zealand

NA

NA

151.4267

NA

#Н/Д

48

Norway

NA

NA

142.7945

NA

#Н/Д

50

Panama

10.83

471.5422459

489.6098

19

14

11

Philippines

5.1

253.9256398

206.6698

25

33

37

Portugal (Madeira)

12.36

119.3885608

57.91351

17

50

69

Russia

NA

NA

325.2539

NA

#Н/Д

25

Samoa

0.1

27.50107447

31.03195

39

68

76

San Marino

0.1

30.86461955

59.53545

39

67

68

Saudi Arabia

NA

NA

274.2

NA

#Н/Д

31

Seychelles

0.1

95.01644304

293.483

39

55

28

Singapore

109.34

1117.958613

1216.86

8

6

5

South Africa

NA

NA

209.7911

NA

#Н/Д

36

Spain

NA

98.79348649

111.3811

NA

53

56

St Kitts & Nevis

NA

31.16919967

18.45872

NA

66

80

St Lucia

0.08

78.7209814

66.89086

46

59

65

St Vincent & the Grenadines

0.1

100.9028576

85.14934

39

52

62

Sweden

NA

NA

55.71366

NA

#Н/Д

71

Switzerland

513.4

1879.215803

1765.25

3

1

1

Turks & Caicos Islands

0.08

218.8583265

81.81755

46

38

63

United Arab Emirates (Dubai)

1.52

439.5830274

419.0078

31

18

16

United Kingdom

513.4

516.4732436

361.325

4

13

21

Uruguay

1.82

331.0032555

277.4804

30

26

30

US Virgin Islands

0.08

104.24046

102.8635

46

51

59

USA

1503.28

1160.059104

1212.971

1

5

6

Vanuatu

0.5

14.32583422

164.9674

35

69

45

Source: Tax Justice Network Financial Secrecy Index. URL: http://www.financialsecrecyindex.com

Appendix 3

Results of 3 specifications (Arellano Bond one-step system, Arellano Bond one-step difference, Arellano Bond two-step, respectively) testing for ROS variable with inclusion of 3 offshore ownership indicators: offshore intermediate dummy, total number of offshores and total number of offshore countries

(3)

(4)

(5)

Setting 1: ROS

RE

AB one-step

AB two-step

Liquidity

-0.00474

0.00933**

0.00965**

(0.00887)

(0.00361)

(0.00411)

Leverage

0.000300

0.000610***

0.000471**

(0.000652)

(0.000216)

(0.000233)

Size

-0.101

0.0354*

0.0417*

(0.111)

(0.0196)

(0.0221)

Age

-0.848

0.000698

0.000564

(0.977)

(0.000523)

(0.000469)

Year 2005

-5.085

0.0500***

0.0412**

(5.869)

(0.0176)

(0.0173)

Year 2006

-4.204

0.0534***

0.0396**

(4.891)

(0.0161)

(0.0155)

Year 2007

-3.326

0.0276**

0.0133

(3.913)

(0.0131)

(0.0126)

Year 2008

-2.469

0.00420

-0.0112

(2.924)

(0.0145)

(0.0140)

Year 2009

-1.684

-0.0248**

-0.0264**

(1.954)

(0.0113)

(0.0115)

Year 2010

-0.800

0.0101

0.00644

(0.972)

(0.0120)

(0.0104)

Year 2011

0.840

0.00131

0.00292

(0.977)

(0.0103)

(0.00876)

Year 2012

1.684

(1.960)

Year 2013

-5.085

-0.0264

-0.0253**

(5.869)

(0.0224)

(0.0123)

Number of offshores

-0.00528

-0.0122**

-0.0103*

(0.0129)

(0.00524)

(0.00589)

Offhore intermediate dummy

-0.113

-0.119*

-0.0865

(0.249)

(0.0615)

(0.0602)

Number of offshore countries

0.00925

0.0988***

0.0780**

(0.132)

(0.0374)

(0.0393)

Undisclosed voting rights

-0.336**

-0.0658

-0.0334

(0.166)

(0.0803)

(0.0721)

State ultimate owner

-0.0436

0.0444

0.00677

(0.307)

(0.0627)

(0.0583)

Dispersed ultimate owner dummy

0.0620

0.00559

0.00848

(0.0663)

(0.0332)

(0.0271)

Insiders dummy

-0.192

0.106

0.0766

-0.00528

(0.0680)

(0.0723)

Lagged ROS

0.244

0.513***

0.475***

(0.168)

(0.162)

_cons

-0.389**

-0.433**

N

1164

1164

1164

Standard errors in parentheses

* p < 0.10, ** p < 0.05, *** p < 0.01

Results of 5 specifications (Arellano Bond one-step system, Arellano Bond one-step difference, Arellano Bond two-step, respectively) testing for ROA variable with inclusion of 3 offshore ownership indicators: offshore intermediate dummy, total number of offshores and total number of offshore countries

(1)

(4)

(5)

Setting 2: ROA

OLS

AB one-step

System

AB two-step

Liquidity

0.00784

0.00624

0.00805**

(0.00653)

(0.00546)

(0.00386)

Leverage

-0.00465

-0.0000463

-0.0000247

(0.00537)

(0.000424)

(0.000140)

Size

-0.852

0.0138

0.00941

(0.672)

(0.0181)

(0.0167)

Age

-3.407

-0.000498

0.000368

(4.151)

(0.00101)

(0.000909)

Year 2005

-24.19

0.0670***

0.0416*

(29.13)

(0.0254)

(0.0215)

Year 2006

-20.68

0.0707***

0.0474**

(24.98)

(0.0203)

(0.0182)

Year 2007

-16.89

0.0284

0.0214

(20.76)

(0.0241)

(0.0161)

Year 2008

-13.22

0.0159

0.0132

(16.54)

(0.0222)

(0.0185)

Year 2009

-10.14

-0.0433***

-0.0485***

(12.44)

(0.0139)

(0.0124)

Year 2010

-6.529

0.0117

0.00884

(8.261)

(0.0121)

(0.00961)

Year 2011

-3.389

0.00855

-0.0000172

(4.151)

(0.00920)

(0.00732)

Year 2012

-24.19

(29.13)

Year 2013

3.654

0.0852

0.0141

(4.211)

(0.112)

(0.0463)

Number of offshores

-0.0773

-0.0176*

-0.0136**

(0.0684)

(0.00908)

(0.00640)

Offhore intermediate dummy

0.144

-0.0769

-0.0874

(0.721)

(0.109)

(0.113)

Number of offshore countries

0.175

0.116**

0.0855

(0.349)

(0.0474)

(0.0561)

Undisclosed voting rights

0.227

0.109

0.00900

(0.499)

(0.109)

(0.114)

State ultimate owner

-1.986

-0.0764

-0.0667

(2.385)

(0.101)

(0.0590)

Dispersed ultimate owner dummy

-0.133

-0.103

-0.0182

(0.239)

(0.0744)

(0.0460)

Insiders dummy

0.342

0.130*

0.0896

-0.0773

(0.0676)

(0.0617)

Lagged ROA

0.571***

0.464***

0.529***

(0.120)

(0.0899)

(0.0873)

_cons

-0.118

-0.0860

(0.185)

(0.174)

N

1167

1167

1167

Standard errors in parentheses

* p < 0.10, ** p < 0.05, *** p < 0.01

Stata output for ROS Arellano Bond system one-step regression

Appendix 4

Results of Arellano Bond two-step specifications testing for ROS, ROA dependent variables with inclusion of offshore intermediate dummy and number of offshore countries

All_Dummy


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(1)

(2)

ROS

ROE

L.f_ebitsales

0.537***

(0.162)

f_liquidity

0.00818**

0.00802*

(0.00376)

(0.00444)

f_leverage

0.000481*

-0.000274

(0.000245)

(0.000334)

f_size

0.0350*

0.0106

(0.0184)

(0.0177)

c_age

-0.0000798

-0.000590