Ownership structure and firm performance in emerging economies: the role of offshore locations
Features of developing and transition economies. Regression analysis of the ownership structure of offshore firms. Research on the impact of offshore on return on assets and sales. Analysis of the performance of Russian companies for 2004-2013 years.
Рубрика | Экономика и экономическая теория |
Вид | магистерская работа |
Язык | английский |
Дата добавления | 30.08.2016 |
Размер файла | 401,4 K |
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Conclusions
In current paper we study the influence of the range of offshore ownership indicators on firm's performance in emerging economies using the empirical sample for 151 Russian companies for 2004 - 2013 years. Firstly, we find additional evidence of Russian ownership structure patterns that there is indeed a high share of offshore ownership, both ultimate anonymous one and intermediate non-anonymous. Secondly, we reveal that offshore dummy and number of offshores have significant negative effect on ROS, for ROA and Q Tobin performance measures only number of offshores in intermediate structure showed significant negative effect, while number of offshore countries influences significantly and positively all of the above performance indicators. Among other significant ownership variables included as controls are State Ultimate owner and Dispersed Ultimate owner dummies, Insider dummy, Share of undisclosed voting rights. We found the empirical evidence that offshore ownership has significant negative effect on ROS performance measure, while being negative and insignificant for ROA.
Total number of offshores in ownership structure has negative significant effect on both performance measures, while number of offshore countries where the owners are registered has positive significant influence on ROS and ROA. The first two facts correspond to the theoretical and practical knowledge of offshore effects on company's performance which lie in the increase in agency costs due to the asymmetry of information.
We then focus on companies with offshore ownership only and analyze the difference in influence on financial performance of offshore's country of origin, given that offshore ownership occurs. The analysis shows that level of secrecy ratio has significant negative impact on both ROA and ROS measures, meaning that on average, the less transparent the country of offshore or foreign ownership origin, the lower the efficiency of performance of offshore-owned companies.
The contribution of current research is thus, firstly, the analysis of current ownership patterns on Russian market as a representative country of emerging and transition economies. Secondly, we find empirical evidence of the proposition that offshore ownership by itself and through the fuzziness measured by number of total number of offshores in ownership structure has negative effects on firms' performance on developing markets, but that the diversification into several countries could have a positive effect.
Thirdly, we show that for offshore-owned firms there is the negative significant effect of level of transparency of the country where the owner is registered on performance. The latter may be helpful in the development of financial and economic theoretical models in the framework of corporate governance and even macroeconomic theories as well as for practitioners like beneficiaries of companies who seek to protect their property rights without loss in company's performance and policy makers who deal with the offshore ownership legislation issues.
Still, there are several limitations in current research which should be improved in future. Firstly, offshore ownership is proxied only by dummy, it would be also interesting to look at the extent of offshore ownership (develop the correct approach to calculate this in the framework of intermediate ownership structures) and the centrality of offshore firms in the ownership structure. So, one future direction of current research is enhancing the database both in terms of number of companies included as well as the range of indicators both of ownership structure and financial performance measures (particularly, Tobin's Q).
Secondly, although we already considered the endogeneity issue of ownership-performance relationship, there still a space for further discussion, for instance, addition of better instruments for the ownership structure such as pre-privatization indicators of company's performance.
Moreover, conditioning the offshore ownership concentration indicator added to the sample, one can analyze the determinants of it similar to what Gugler (2014) does for individual investor controls in order to find out whether the ownership has reverse causality with performance.
Thirdly, as we discuss the potential positive effects of offshore ownership structure, it might be interesting to reveal explicitly through which mechanisms this process can be enabled (i.e. which are the variables that moderate or mediate this effect). For instance, potential mediators of the positive influence of offshores in ownership structure on performance could be innovation and merging and acquisition (M&A) activities as they both connected with the need for higher levels of property rights protection or financial or legal infrastructure. Following this direction we can firstly analyze the relationship between offshore ownership structure and innovation and M&A activities as part of corporate governance strategy for Russian companies and then check if these strategic decisions indeed influence the relationship between offshore ownership structure and corporate financial performance.
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Appendix 1
Classification of offshore countries
Country |
Region |
OECD 2009 list |
Original OECD Tax Haven list |
TIEA |
Sovereign country |
|
Andorra |
Europe |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Anguilla |
Caribbean |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
|
Antigua&Barb |
Caribbean |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Aruba |
Caribbean |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
|
Bahamas |
Caribbean |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Bahrain |
Middle East |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Barbados |
Caribbean |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Belize |
Central America |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Bermuda |
Pacific |
0 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
|
British Virgin Islands |
Caribbean |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
|
Cayman Islands |
Caribbean |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
|
Channel Islands |
Europe |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
|
Costa Rica |
Central America |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Cyprus |
Europe |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
|
Dominica |
Caribbean |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Gibraltar |
Europe |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Grenada |
Caribbean |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Guatemala |
Central America |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
|
Hong Kong |
East Asia |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
|
Ireland |
Europe |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
|
Isle of Man |
Europe |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Jordan |
Middle East |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
Lebanon |
Middle East |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
|
Liberia |
West Africa |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Liechtenstein |
Europe |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Luxemburg |
Europe |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
|
Macao |
East Asia |
0 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
|
Maldives |
Indian Ocean |
1 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
|
Malta |
Europe |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
|
Marshall Islands |
Pacific |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Mauritius |
Indian Ocean |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Monaco |
Europe |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Monserrat |
Caribbean |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
|
Nauru |
Pacific |
1 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
|
Niue |
Pacific |
1 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
|
Panama |
Central America |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Samoa |
Pacific |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
San Marino |
Europe |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Seychelles |
Indian Ocean |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Singapore |
East Asia |
1 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
|
St.Kitts |
Caribbean |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Saint Lucia |
Caribbean |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
St.Vinc |
Caribbean |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Tonga |
Pacific |
1 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
|
Turks |
Caribbean |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
|
USVirgin |
Caribbean |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
|
Uruguay |
South America |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
|
Vanuatu |
Pacific |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Appendix 2
Financial Secrecy Ratio historical values
Secrecy Jurisdiction |
2009 FSI |
2011 FSI |
2013 FSI |
2009 FSI Rank |
2011 FSI Rank |
2013 FSI Rank |
|
Andorra |
0.07 |
133.6207578 |
43.37763 |
57 |
45 |
74 |
|
Anguilla |
0.08 |
36.04731967 |
96.76443 |
55 |
65 |
61 |
|
Antigua & Barbuda |
0.08 |
88.46715871 |
60.47441 |
46 |
58 |
67 |
|
Aruba |
0.28 |
124.9300921 |
113.3252 |
36 |
47 |
55 |
|
Australia |
NA |
NA |
168.1538 |
NA |
NA |
44 |
|
Austria |
42.32 |
453.4871247 |
400.8232 |
12 |
17 |
18 |
|
Bahamas |
1.1 |
431.110463 |
226.8748 |
33 |
19 |
35 |
|
Bahrain |
23.53 |
660.3148226 |
461.1659 |
14 |
10 |
13 |
|
Barbados |
2.6 |
266.5653179 |
317.4745 |
28 |
30 |
26 |
|
Belgium |
78.6 |
467.1602626 |
199.2665 |
9 |
15 |
40 |
|
Belize |
0.2 |
198.3999755 |
129.8344 |
37 |
40 |
52 |
|
Bermuda |
122.3 |
539.8775265 |
432.3802 |
7 |
12 |
14 |
|
Botswana |
NA |
121.2662673 |
98.99626 |
NA |
49 |
60 |
|
Brazil |
NA |
NA |
283.9142 |
NA |
#Н/Д |
29 |
|
British Virgin Islands |
14.98 |
617.8850568 |
385.4457 |
16 |
11 |
20 |
|
Brunei Darussalam |
0.1 |
45.79904958 |
50.63406 |
39 |
63 |
73 |
|
Canada |
NA |
366.1569807 |
418.5234 |
NA |
24 |
17 |
|
Cayman Islands |
403.48 |
1646.67297 |
1233.567 |
5 |
2 |
4 |
|
Cook Islands |
0.08 |
13.39634467 |
25.26854 |
46 |
70 |
78 |
|
Costa Rica |
0.51 |
177.2174434 |
157.6024 |
34 |
41 |
46 |
|
Curacao |
NA |
NA |
106.41 |
NA |
#Н/Д |
58 |
|
Cyprus |
11.59 |
406.5143262 |
198.9163 |
18 |
20 |
41 |
|
Denmark |
NA |
121.6806958 |
63.11788 |
NA |
48 |
66 |
|
Dominica |
0.1 |
12.45284756 |
26.94115 |
39 |
71 |
77 |
|
Dominican Republic |
NA |
NA |
193.7889 |
NA |
#Н/Д |
42 |
|
France |
NA |
NA |
190.9599 |
NA |
#Н/Д |
43 |
|
Germany |
NA |
669.7714873 |
738.3376 |
NA |
9 |
8 |
|
Ghana |
NA |
146.8078402 |
109.9242 |
NA |
44 |
57 |
|
Gibraltar |
0.08 |
174.6427276 |
147.8179 |
46 |
43 |
49 |
|
Grenada |
0.08 |
57.60750966 |
55.7658 |
46 |
61 |
70 |
|
Guatemala |
NA |
174.8035251 |
142.4216 |
NA |
42 |
51 |
|
Guernsey |
36.2 |
402.3383479 |
419.3564 |
13 |
21 |
15 |
|
Hong Kong |
76.34 |
1370.740769 |
1283.445 |
10 |
4 |
3 |
|
Hungary |
7.65 |
94.79689408 |
54.65056 |
22 |
56 |
72 |
|
India |
NA |
344.0421554 |
254.5711 |
NA |
25 |
32 |
|
Ireland |
143.73 |
264.2156913 |
155.5173 |
6 |
31 |
47 |
|
Isle of Man |
5.79 |
230.4174787 |
237.258 |
24 |
36 |
34 |
|
Israel |
10.37 |
230.2969209 |
205.9219 |
20 |
37 |
38 |
|
Italy |
NA |
231.1939797 |
118.9649 |
NA |
35 |
54 |
|
Japan |
NA |
693.6381377 |
513.1047 |
NA |
8 |
10 |
|
Jersey |
76.22 |
750.1455758 |
591.7031 |
11 |
7 |
9 |
|
Korea |
NA |
317.1874912 |
328.7934 |
NA |
28 |
24 |
|
Latvia |
4.11 |
88.8864986 |
128.1165 |
26 |
57 |
53 |
|
Lebanon |
2.65 |
397.3275649 |
747.8594 |
27 |
22 |
7 |
|
Liberia |
0.08 |
316.8840234 |
300.8851 |
54 |
29 |
27 |
|
Liechtenstein |
0.08 |
239.214042 |
240.963 |
55 |
34 |
33 |
|
Luxembourg |
1127.02 |
1621.157151 |
1454.483 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
|
Macao |
1.89 |
389.7947257 |
360.4904 |
29 |
23 |
22 |
|
Malaysia (Labuan) |
7.2 |
319.2789828 |
471.6878 |
23 |
27 |
12 |
|
Maldives |
0.06 |
78.45620857 |
21.05039 |
58 |
60 |
79 |
|
Malta |
8.68 |
98.63070036 |
78.0526 |
21 |
54 |
64 |
|
Marshall Islands |
0.08 |
457.0060042 |
329.6054 |
46 |
16 |
23 |
|
Mauritius |
1.2 |
261.5523825 |
397.8627 |
32 |
32 |
19 |
|
Monaco |
0.04 |
37.73045046 |
38.84132 |
60 |
64 |
75 |
|
Montserrat |
0.06 |
50.1146765 |
0 |
59 |
62 |
82 |
|
Nauru |
0.08 |
0 |
0 |
46 |
NA |
81 |
|
Netherlands |
23.18 |
199.6975153 |
204.929 |
15 |
39 |
39 |
|
New Zealand |
NA |
NA |
151.4267 |
NA |
#Н/Д |
48 |
|
Norway |
NA |
NA |
142.7945 |
NA |
#Н/Д |
50 |
|
Panama |
10.83 |
471.5422459 |
489.6098 |
19 |
14 |
11 |
|
Philippines |
5.1 |
253.9256398 |
206.6698 |
25 |
33 |
37 |
|
Portugal (Madeira) |
12.36 |
119.3885608 |
57.91351 |
17 |
50 |
69 |
|
Russia |
NA |
NA |
325.2539 |
NA |
#Н/Д |
25 |
|
Samoa |
0.1 |
27.50107447 |
31.03195 |
39 |
68 |
76 |
|
San Marino |
0.1 |
30.86461955 |
59.53545 |
39 |
67 |
68 |
|
Saudi Arabia |
NA |
NA |
274.2 |
NA |
#Н/Д |
31 |
|
Seychelles |
0.1 |
95.01644304 |
293.483 |
39 |
55 |
28 |
|
Singapore |
109.34 |
1117.958613 |
1216.86 |
8 |
6 |
5 |
|
South Africa |
NA |
NA |
209.7911 |
NA |
#Н/Д |
36 |
|
Spain |
NA |
98.79348649 |
111.3811 |
NA |
53 |
56 |
|
St Kitts & Nevis |
NA |
31.16919967 |
18.45872 |
NA |
66 |
80 |
|
St Lucia |
0.08 |
78.7209814 |
66.89086 |
46 |
59 |
65 |
|
St Vincent & the Grenadines |
0.1 |
100.9028576 |
85.14934 |
39 |
52 |
62 |
|
Sweden |
NA |
NA |
55.71366 |
NA |
#Н/Д |
71 |
|
Switzerland |
513.4 |
1879.215803 |
1765.25 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
|
Turks & Caicos Islands |
0.08 |
218.8583265 |
81.81755 |
46 |
38 |
63 |
|
United Arab Emirates (Dubai) |
1.52 |
439.5830274 |
419.0078 |
31 |
18 |
16 |
|
United Kingdom |
513.4 |
516.4732436 |
361.325 |
4 |
13 |
21 |
|
Uruguay |
1.82 |
331.0032555 |
277.4804 |
30 |
26 |
30 |
|
US Virgin Islands |
0.08 |
104.24046 |
102.8635 |
46 |
51 |
59 |
|
USA |
1503.28 |
1160.059104 |
1212.971 |
1 |
5 |
6 |
|
Vanuatu |
0.5 |
14.32583422 |
164.9674 |
35 |
69 |
45 |
Source: Tax Justice Network Financial Secrecy Index. URL: http://www.financialsecrecyindex.com
Appendix 3
Results of 3 specifications (Arellano Bond one-step system, Arellano Bond one-step difference, Arellano Bond two-step, respectively) testing for ROS variable with inclusion of 3 offshore ownership indicators: offshore intermediate dummy, total number of offshores and total number of offshore countries
(3) |
(4) |
(5) |
||
Setting 1: ROS |
RE |
AB one-step |
AB two-step |
|
Liquidity |
-0.00474 |
0.00933** |
0.00965** |
|
(0.00887) |
(0.00361) |
(0.00411) |
||
Leverage |
0.000300 |
0.000610*** |
0.000471** |
|
(0.000652) |
(0.000216) |
(0.000233) |
||
Size |
-0.101 |
0.0354* |
0.0417* |
|
(0.111) |
(0.0196) |
(0.0221) |
||
Age |
-0.848 |
0.000698 |
0.000564 |
|
(0.977) |
(0.000523) |
(0.000469) |
||
Year 2005 |
-5.085 |
0.0500*** |
0.0412** |
|
(5.869) |
(0.0176) |
(0.0173) |
||
Year 2006 |
-4.204 |
0.0534*** |
0.0396** |
|
(4.891) |
(0.0161) |
(0.0155) |
||
Year 2007 |
-3.326 |
0.0276** |
0.0133 |
|
(3.913) |
(0.0131) |
(0.0126) |
||
Year 2008 |
-2.469 |
0.00420 |
-0.0112 |
|
(2.924) |
(0.0145) |
(0.0140) |
||
Year 2009 |
-1.684 |
-0.0248** |
-0.0264** |
|
(1.954) |
(0.0113) |
(0.0115) |
||
Year 2010 |
-0.800 |
0.0101 |
0.00644 |
|
(0.972) |
(0.0120) |
(0.0104) |
||
Year 2011 |
0.840 |
0.00131 |
0.00292 |
|
(0.977) |
(0.0103) |
(0.00876) |
||
Year 2012 |
1.684 |
|||
(1.960) |
||||
Year 2013 |
-5.085 |
-0.0264 |
-0.0253** |
|
(5.869) |
(0.0224) |
(0.0123) |
||
Number of offshores |
-0.00528 |
-0.0122** |
-0.0103* |
|
(0.0129) |
(0.00524) |
(0.00589) |
||
Offhore intermediate dummy |
-0.113 |
-0.119* |
-0.0865 |
|
(0.249) |
(0.0615) |
(0.0602) |
||
Number of offshore countries |
0.00925 |
0.0988*** |
0.0780** |
|
(0.132) |
(0.0374) |
(0.0393) |
||
Undisclosed voting rights |
-0.336** |
-0.0658 |
-0.0334 |
|
(0.166) |
(0.0803) |
(0.0721) |
||
State ultimate owner |
-0.0436 |
0.0444 |
0.00677 |
|
(0.307) |
(0.0627) |
(0.0583) |
||
Dispersed ultimate owner dummy |
0.0620 |
0.00559 |
0.00848 |
|
(0.0663) |
(0.0332) |
(0.0271) |
||
Insiders dummy |
-0.192 |
0.106 |
0.0766 |
|
-0.00528 |
(0.0680) |
(0.0723) |
||
Lagged ROS |
0.244 |
0.513*** |
0.475*** |
|
(0.168) |
(0.162) |
|||
_cons |
-0.389** |
-0.433** |
||
N |
1164 |
1164 |
1164 |
Standard errors in parentheses
* p < 0.10, ** p < 0.05, *** p < 0.01
Results of 5 specifications (Arellano Bond one-step system, Arellano Bond one-step difference, Arellano Bond two-step, respectively) testing for ROA variable with inclusion of 3 offshore ownership indicators: offshore intermediate dummy, total number of offshores and total number of offshore countries
(1) |
(4) |
(5) |
||
Setting 2: ROA |
OLS |
AB one-step System |
AB two-step |
|
Liquidity |
0.00784 |
0.00624 |
0.00805** |
|
(0.00653) |
(0.00546) |
(0.00386) |
||
Leverage |
-0.00465 |
-0.0000463 |
-0.0000247 |
|
(0.00537) |
(0.000424) |
(0.000140) |
||
Size |
-0.852 |
0.0138 |
0.00941 |
|
(0.672) |
(0.0181) |
(0.0167) |
||
Age |
-3.407 |
-0.000498 |
0.000368 |
|
(4.151) |
(0.00101) |
(0.000909) |
||
Year 2005 |
-24.19 |
0.0670*** |
0.0416* |
|
(29.13) |
(0.0254) |
(0.0215) |
||
Year 2006 |
-20.68 |
0.0707*** |
0.0474** |
|
(24.98) |
(0.0203) |
(0.0182) |
||
Year 2007 |
-16.89 |
0.0284 |
0.0214 |
|
(20.76) |
(0.0241) |
(0.0161) |
||
Year 2008 |
-13.22 |
0.0159 |
0.0132 |
|
(16.54) |
(0.0222) |
(0.0185) |
||
Year 2009 |
-10.14 |
-0.0433*** |
-0.0485*** |
|
(12.44) |
(0.0139) |
(0.0124) |
||
Year 2010 |
-6.529 |
0.0117 |
0.00884 |
|
(8.261) |
(0.0121) |
(0.00961) |
||
Year 2011 |
-3.389 |
0.00855 |
-0.0000172 |
|
(4.151) |
(0.00920) |
(0.00732) |
||
Year 2012 |
-24.19 |
|||
(29.13) |
||||
Year 2013 |
3.654 |
0.0852 |
0.0141 |
|
(4.211) |
(0.112) |
(0.0463) |
||
Number of offshores |
-0.0773 |
-0.0176* |
-0.0136** |
|
(0.0684) |
(0.00908) |
(0.00640) |
||
Offhore intermediate dummy |
0.144 |
-0.0769 |
-0.0874 |
|
(0.721) |
(0.109) |
(0.113) |
||
Number of offshore countries |
0.175 |
0.116** |
0.0855 |
|
(0.349) |
(0.0474) |
(0.0561) |
||
Undisclosed voting rights |
0.227 |
0.109 |
0.00900 |
|
(0.499) |
(0.109) |
(0.114) |
||
State ultimate owner |
-1.986 |
-0.0764 |
-0.0667 |
|
(2.385) |
(0.101) |
(0.0590) |
||
Dispersed ultimate owner dummy |
-0.133 |
-0.103 |
-0.0182 |
|
(0.239) |
(0.0744) |
(0.0460) |
||
Insiders dummy |
0.342 |
0.130* |
0.0896 |
|
-0.0773 |
(0.0676) |
(0.0617) |
||
Lagged ROA |
0.571*** |
0.464*** |
0.529*** |
|
(0.120) |
(0.0899) |
(0.0873) |
||
_cons |
-0.118 |
-0.0860 |
||
(0.185) |
(0.174) |
|||
N |
1167 |
1167 |
1167 |
Standard errors in parentheses
* p < 0.10, ** p < 0.05, *** p < 0.01
Stata output for ROS Arellano Bond system one-step regression
Appendix 4
Results of Arellano Bond two-step specifications testing for ROS, ROA dependent variables with inclusion of offshore intermediate dummy and number of offshore countries
All_Dummy
(1) |
(2) |
||
ROS |
ROE |
||
L.f_ebitsales |
0.537*** |
||
(0.162) |
|||
f_liquidity |
0.00818** |
0.00802* |
|
(0.00376) |
(0.00444) |
||
f_leverage |
0.000481* |
-0.000274 |
|
(0.000245) |
(0.000334) |
||
f_size |
0.0350* |
0.0106 |
|
(0.0184) |
(0.0177) |
||
c_age |
-0.0000798 |
-0.000590 |
|