Corruption in formation the optimal strategy development of urban system

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CORRUPTION IN FORMATION THE OPTIMAL STRATEGY DEVELOPMENT OF URBAN SYSTEM

Tikhomirova E.G.,

Semin E.G.

Growth cities and strengthening urbanization in the last decades led to increase technogenic impact at all components of urban environment. The main reasons adverse effects of technogenic impact on urban environment is spontaneity in course urbanization and insufficient level of knowledge about difficult natural and technogenic city system [1-3].

The ecological factor should be priority in choice design decisions because unsatisfactory state of environment leads to most serious negative consequences connected with health issues, to ensuring normal activity of population, and survival subsequent generations. At the same time, corruption problem in the ecological sphere is very actual now that is confirmed by data of reports and conferences in this field in Russia and abroad [4].

Subjectivity at realization of choice. Evolution of city system in general (as humanitarian system) and tekhnogenic changed components of urban environment is defined by nature of behavior characters (persons directly related to decision-making in corresponding areas) and conditions imposed by environment. So shown unique specifics of humanitarian systems, consisting in properties of individual person (competence level, level of knowledge, predisposition to corruption, etc.). “Distinction between desirable and valid behavior acts as external condition of new type defining dynamics contours along with environment” [5]. This situation confirms unpredictability of humanitarian systems.

Desirability acceptance concrete i-decision of K alternative opportunities per unit time is proportional to relative attractiveness of i-option. In process of decision-making prize to changing and it reflected as increase or reduction attractiveness of corresponding elections. The loop of feedback is shown in (Fig.) in case of two elections б and в.

represents attractiveness of choice б, - number of people, inclined to choice б to real timepoint. Relative number of persons, wishing change own choice on choice в, in proportion to number those who already made other choice б, and relative attractiveness of choice в, defined . Similarly number of persons wishing to change choice в on choice б, proportion to , to multiplied on relative attractiveness б, equal .

Fig. 1 - The feedback loop, characterizing realization choice on condition two at the same time existing opportunities б and b. Degree of attractiveness opportunities б and b characterize numbers Aб and Ab. The sizes of populations, which made choice б and b, are designated by Xб and Xb respectively [5].

Supposed that population is non-uniform. It breaks up to some various subpopulations Nj, each of which has own idea about relative attractiveness this choice.

Corruption parameter and level of knowledge at decision-making. Prigozhin's model adopted for formation optimum strategy behavior of system for choice of actions for decrease negative impact on city ecosystems. Offered system of equations balance type (Eq.1).

(1)

t - time, K - any sample size, X_i - size of population, which made i-behavior option, A_ij - attractiveness of i-option for j-population, N_j - subpopulation, having own idea about attractiveness this choice, P_i - weight multiplier, entered for analysis effects, connected with lobbying in decision-making. Size P_istrongly depends from X_i and with increase size of population X_i sharply falls, T_i - weight multiplier, entered for accounting level of knowledge (competence) persons, making this or that decision.

The analysis of system nonlinear differential equations shows possibility of occurrence several branches decisions with difficult set of bifurcation phenomena. The system is instability to fluctuations in initial conditions in case small values X_i. This connected with strong nonlinearity dependence P_i from X_i. Lobbying decisions most probably at earliest stage formation population, accepting i-behavior option. Possible to operate process of lobbying by variation initial values X_i or by reduction humanitarian influence on parameter P_i. The first option to decrease of protectionism in decision-making is democratization of decisions. The second option provides to increase role of objective factors in choice this or that decision. In case when P_i = const, system of equations remains nonlinear and possibility existence several branches of decision remains, though effects lobbying decisions disappear.

(Eq.1) can be used for assessment technologies, applied in municipal economy, technologies processing building and solid municipal waste, etc. [6-8]. This formula defines objectivity any tender commission.

Formation rational transport infrastructure of the city taking into account parameter of corruption and level of knowledge. Considered, as example, system of design transport infrastructure, which is a part of city system. This system possible to present in form a matrix.

The system of design transport infrastructure [9-11] includes following subsystems: constructive and technical, organizational and administrative, planning and urban development, environment protection.

The condition of each subsystems can be estimated as follows

(2)

- condition of j-subsystems;

- influencing i-factor j-subsystems;

- time period of i-factor;

i = 1, …, n; j = 1, 2, 3, 4.

The constructive and technical subsystem () includes actions for high-quality diagnostics and car repairs (), introduction catalytic neutralizers (), development and deployment eco-friendly means of transport (ecobuses, ecomobiles) (), implementation program of phased transition transport on alternative types fuel ().

The organizational and administrative subsystem () includes development normative legal acts in the field of environmental protection (), improvement organization movement of transport streams (), creation priority public transport (), development system penalties for operation technically faulty transport ().

The planning and urban development subsystem () includes design and construction high-speed highways (), construction bypass highways for unloading downtown (), organization works on improvement roadside territories (), construction underground crosswalks for increase bandwidth of streets ().

The environmental protection subsystem () includes gardening territory, use land relief (), rational choice of types buildings coming to highways (), use protective designs (acoustic cranes, natural protective designs, etc.) (), application effective ways of planning quarters ().

Thus, system of design transport infrastructure can be described by following communication equation

(3)

(Eq. 3) can be added with weight multipliers P_i and T_i, considering corruption parameter and level of knowledge, necessary for formation rational transport infrastructure.

Thus, turns out following system of equations

(4)

Similarly possible to write down equations for system of address with solid municipal waste, for system of ensuring quality water supply, for system of gardening of the city, etc.

References

corruption ecological prigozhin equation

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