Impact of international migration on gender inequality and demographic indicators

Research on gender inequality and population size. Possible consequences of international migration, especially emigration, for gender inequality and demographic indicators. Study of the gender inequality index and the level of neonatal mortality.

Рубрика Экономика и экономическая теория
Вид дипломная работа
Язык английский
Дата добавления 18.07.2020
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VARIABLES

(1)

(2)

(3)

L.lnTotalnumberofemigrants

-0.169***

-0.469***

(0.0391)

(0.124)

L.lnRemittancespercapita

-0.00579

-0.00815

-0.00144

(0.0136)

(0.0133)

(0.0135)

L.lngdppercap2010

-0.709***

-0.769***

-0.607***

(0.120)

(0.123)

(0.110)

L.GovernmentEffectiveness

-0.0424

0.00447

-0.125*

(0.0612)

(0.0652)

(0.0646)

L.TradepercentofGDP

-0.000880*

-0.00122**

-0.000246

(0.000519)

(0.000510)

(0.000567)

L.Lifeexpectancyatbirthfemale

-0.0207***

-0.0220***

-0.0182**

(0.00530)

(0.00732)

(0.00902)

L.FemaleUnemployment

-0.00405

-0.00385

-0.00453

(0.00451)

(0.00447)

(0.00437)

L.ShadoweconomypercentofGDP

-0.00564

-0.00424

-0.00812*

(0.00478)

(0.00502)

(0.00475)

Constant

12.26***

10.62***

15.22***

(1.086)

(1.029)

(1.523)

Observations

452

452

443

R-squared

0.748

0.726

Numberofid

131

131

128

r2_o

0.807

0.828

0.663

r2_w

0.748

0.726

0.671

r2_b

0.800

0.821

0.648

The dependent variable is the logarithm of Neonatal Mortality Rate. Models (1) and (2) are FE models. The total number of emigrants are instrumented by predicted number of emigrants based on pseudo-gravity model in (3) regression.Clustered standard errors by country in parentheses

*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1

2.4 Robustness check

For robustness check for the Gender Inequality Index we change GDP per capita to GNI per capita and Globalization Index to the logarithm of the export of goods and services, the logarithm of import of goods and services and trade (as % ofGDP) for models with and without lagged independent variables. The explanatory variable is still significant and the total number of emigrants as well as the total number of emigrants lagged by 5 years decreases the Gender Inequality Index(Table 20, Table 21).

Table 20.Robustness check for Gender Inequality Index

VARIABLES

(1)

(2)

(3)

lnTotalnumberofemigrants

-0.133***

-0.134***

-0.145***

(0.0423)

(0.0313)

(0.0289)

lnRemittancespercapita

0.00735

0.00701

0.00728

(0.00472)

(0.00451)

(0.00481)

lnGNIpercapitaconstant2010US

-0.103***

-0.0879***

-0.106***

(0.0237)

(0.0298)

(0.0254)

lnNetODAreceivedpercapitacon

-0.00344

-0.00391

-0.00411

(0.00548)

(0.00526)

(0.00522)

lnImportofgoodsandserv

-0.00674

(0.0188)

SchoolEnrollmentTertiary

-0.000172

-0.000172

-0.000141

(0.000309)

(0.000319)

(0.000312)

lnExportsofgoodsandservicesc

-0.0160

(0.0196)

TradeofGDP

0.000171

(0.000211)

Constant

3.226***

3.331***

3.242***

(0.357)

(0.383)

(0.360)

Observations

300

301

302

Numberofid

95

95

95

r2_o

0.172

0.147

0.162

r2_w

0.541

0.542

0.504

r2_b

0.142

0.117

0.115

The dependent variable is Gender Inequality Index.The total number of emigrants are instrumented by predicted number of emigrants based on pseudo-gravity model.Clustered standard errors by country in parentheses

*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1

Table 21.Robustness check for Gender Inequality Index with lagged independent variables

VARIABLES

(1)

(2)

(3)

L.lnTotalnumberofemigrants

-0.160***

-0.159***

-0.182***

(0.0424)

(0.0331)

(0.0399)

L.lnRemittancespercapita

0.00301

0.00321

0.00330

(0.00609)

(0.00614)

(0.00648)

Table 21 continued

VARIABLES

(1)

(2)

(3)

L.lnGNIpercapitaconstant2010US

-0.104***

-0.0806**

-0.102***

(0.0323)

(0.0399)

(0.0309)

L.lnNetODAreceivedpercapitacon

-0.00185

-0.00284

-0.00204

(0.00534)

(0.00584)

(0.00555)

L.lnImportofgoodsandserv

-0.00618

(0.0249)

L.SchoolEnrollmentTertiary

0.000230

0.000140

0.000293

(0.000615)

(0.000605)

(0.000701)

L.lnExportsofgoodsandservicesc

-0.0186

(0.0245)

L.TradeofGDP

0.000391*

(0.000214)

Constant

3.565***

3.645***

3.662***

(0.546)

(0.591)

(0.607)

Observations

274

274

277

Numberofid

96

96

96

r2_o

0.114

0.0906

0.0916

r2_w

0.353

0.365

0.253

r2_b

0.0972

0.0728

0.0564

The dependent variable is Gender Inequality Index.The total number of emigrants are instrumented by predicted number of emigrants based on pseudo-gravity model.Clustered standard errors by country in parentheses

*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1

For robustness check for Neonatal Mortality Rate we replace the dependent variable by Mortality Rate under 5 years because these variables are closely connected and the variables that effect Neonatal Mortality Rate should affect Mortality Rate under 5 years as well. The results (Table 22) show that current emigration as well as past emigration reduces Mortality Rate under 5 and the effect is significant at 1% level.

Table 22. Robustness check for Neonatal Mortality Rate with dependent variable Mortality Rate under 5 years

VARIABLES

(1)

VARIABLES

(2)

lnTotalnumberofemigrants

-0.950***

L.lnTotalnumberofemigrants

-0.633***

(0.244)

(0.163)

Table 22 continued

VARIABLES

(1)

VARIABLES

(2)

lnRemittancespercapita

-0.00417

L.lnRemittancespercapita

-0.00496

(0.0182)

(0.0148)

lngdppercap2010

-0.467***

L.lngdppercap2010

-0.516***

(0.138)

(0.120)

GovernmentEffectiveness

-0.157**

L.GovernmentEffectiveness

-0.0514

(0.0748)

(0.0671)

TradepercentofGDP

-0.000148

L.TradepercentofGDP

2.33e-05

(0.000763)

(0.000647)

Lifeexpectancyatbirthfemale

-0.0320**

L.Lifeexpectancyatbirthfemale

-0.0372**

(0.0159)

(0.0153)

FemaleUnemployment

-0.00864

L.FemaleUnemployment

-0.00522

(0.00565)

(0.00534)

ShadoweconomypercentofGDP

-0.0119**

L.ShadoweconomypercentofGDP

-0.00401

(0.00590)

(0.00508)

Constant

22.46***

Constant

18.54***

(2.325)

(1.659)

Observations

565

Observations

443

Numberofid

130

Numberofid

128

r2_o

0.399

r2_o

0.615

r2_w

0.662

r2_w

0.713

r2_b

0.375

r2_b

0.594

The dependent variable is the logarithm of Mortality Rate under 5 years.The total number of emigrants are instrumented by predicted number of emigrants based on pseudo-gravity model.Clustered standard errors by country in parentheses

*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1

Also, for the robustness check, we changeGDP per capita to GNI per capita,trade (as % of GDP) to the logarithm of the export of goods and services, the logarithm of import of goods and services and Globalization Index,female unemployment to female labor force participation rate and female life expectancy to total life expectancy. The explanatory variable is still significantat 1 % level in all model specifications without lags and decreases Neonatal Mortality Rate, while for model specifications with lags 2 out of 3 regressions show the significant effect of the total number of emigrantsthat reducesneonatal mortality as well (Table 23, Table 24).

Table23. Robustness check for Neonatal Mortality Rate

VARIABLES

(1)

(2)

(3)

lnTotalnumberofemigrants

-1.100***

-0.925***

-0.915**

(0.358)

(0.284)

(0.366)

lnRemittancespercapita

-0.00621

0.00145

-0.000472

(0.0246)

(0.0205)

(0.0208)

lnGNIpercapitaconstant2010US

-0.589***

-0.321**

-0.439***

(0.152)

(0.157)

(0.121)

GovernmentEffectiveness

-0.225**

-0.221**

-0.207**

(0.106)

(0.0951)

(0.103)

lnImportofgoodsandserv

0.153

(0.105)

Lifeexpectancyatbirthtotal

-0.0247

-0.00904

-0.0151

(0.0202)

(0.0174)

(0.0163)

Laborforceparticipationrate

0.000838

0.00247

0.00103

(0.00826)

(0.00730)

(0.00696)

ShadoweconomypercentofGDP

-0.0233**

-0.0205**

-0.0209**

(0.0107)

(0.00935)

(0.00936)

lnExportsofgoodsandservicesc

-0.140

(0.0862)

GlobalizationIndex

-0.00297

(0.00673)

Constant

20.82***

21.89***

20.14***

(3.706)

(3.404)

(4.573)

Observations

496

497

504

Numberofid

127

127

129

r2_o

0.264

0.220

0.283

r2_w

0.187

0.355

0.393

r2_b

0.229

0.185

0.240

The dependent variable is the logarithm of Neonatal Mortality Rate. The total number of emigrants are instrumented by predicted number of emigrants based on pseudo-gravity model.Clustered standard errors by country in parentheses

*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1

Table24. Robustness check for Neonatal Mortality Rate with lagged dependent variables

VARIABLES

(1)

(2)

(3)

L.lnTotalnumberofemigrants

-0.409***

-0.391***

-0.215

(0.140)

(0.105)

(0.144)

L.lnRemittancespercapita

-0.000439

0.00293

0.00199

(0.0153)

(0.0144)

(0.0138)

L.lnGNIpercapitaconstant2010US

-0.589***

-0.415***

-0.464***

(0.129)

(0.129)

(0.104)

L.GovernmentEffectiveness

-0.117

-0.115

-0.0756

(0.0743)

(0.0699)

(0.0665)

L.lnImportofgoodsandserv

0.0483

(0.0919)

L.Lifeexpectancyatbirthtotal

-0.0290***

-0.0213***

-0.0190***

(0.00734)

(0.00669)

(0.00517)

L.Laborforceparticipationrate

-0.00621

-0.00406

-0.00390

(0.00385)

(0.00396)

(0.00326)

L.ShadoweconomypercentofGDP

-0.00737

-0.00672

-0.00733

(0.00514)

(0.00510)

(0.00454)

L.lnExportsofgoodsandservicesc

-0.0950

(0.0660)

L.GlobalizationIndex

-0.0107**

(0.00444)

Constant

14.10***

15.10***

11.42***

(1.532)

(1.559)

(2.366)

Observations

382

382

389

Numberofid

126

126

128

r2_o

0.731

0.632

0.809

r2_w

0.668

0.680

0.765

r2_b

0.701

0.594

0.786

The dependent variable is the logarithm of Neonatal Mortality Rate. The total number of emigrants are instrumented by predicted number of emigrants based on pseudo-gravity model.Clustered standard errors by country in parentheses

*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1

The robustness check confirms our hypothesis thatemigration reducesthe Gender Inequality Index and Neonatal Mortality Rate and this effect remains significant.

CONCLUSION

Migration has become one of the relevant research topics due to the increasing openness of the world and the increased importance of knowledge of the impact that migration has on the internal processes of countries.Nowadays, more and more studies are devoted to determiningthe factors that influence gender inequality in countries all over the world due to the increasing understanding of the importance of equal rights and possibilities among people. While developed countries provide women with more rights, developing countries are still suffer from high gender injustice. Also, the problem of population changesinsome countries remains relevantand various country policies aimed at both increasing or decreasing the amount of population. This study made an attempt to examine the possible effect that emigration has on gender inequality and demographical indicators connected with mortality.

We assumed that emigrants could assimilate norms in the country of destination and transfer them though different channels,including telephone, internet, to the relatives left behind in their home country, thereby migrants can also act as channels of transmission of norms. In our analysis we estimated FE models and implemented instrumental variable estimation due to the fact that emigrants as regressor can be associated with the problem ofendogeneity and found that the total number of emigrants reduces Gender Inequality Index and Neonatal Mortality Rate and the effect is significant. By estimating models with independent variables lagged by 5 years we determined that emigrants reduce gender inequality and neonatal mortality both in short and long run.

The results of this study suggest that migration promotes the transfer of norms from one country to another, especially norms related to gender inequality and norms related to conditions of childbirth and childcaring, which is reflected in child mortality. Specifically, migration has a beneficial effect and is capable to decrease women's discrimination and child mortality.

REFERENCES

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APPENDIX

APPENDIX 1

Table A1. Descriptive Statistics

Variable

Obs

Mean

Std.Dev.

Min

Max

GenderInequalityIndexGII

684

.41

.197

.042

.839

lnNeonatalMortalityRate

1140

2.558

.978

-.105

4.313

lnMortalityRateUnder5

1140

3.35

1.169

.788

5.795

lnTotalnumberofemigrants

1392

11.965

2.273

3.434

16.584

lnRemittancespercapita

839

4.014

1.906

-4.144

12.973

lngdppercap2010

1138

8.475

1.544

5.212

12.151

lnNetODAreceivedpercapitacon

698

4.175

2.111

-1.848

29.466

GlobalizationIndex

1126

54.344

16.11

19.411

91.313

SchoolEnrollmentTertiary

1266

17.132

24.079

0

118.611

GovernmentEffectiveness

969

-.01

1

-2.232

2.241

PoliticalStability

975

-.011

.997

-3.131

1.943

ShadoweconomypercentofGDP

900

32.262

12.664

8.1

71.95

Lifeexpectancyatbirthfemale

1159

70.519

10.332

32.232

87.3

CurrentHealthExpenditure

737

6.252

2.958

1.345

26.289

TradepercentofGDP

1042

85.518

51.178

.021

420.431

FemaleUnemployment

1104

9.465

7.675

.149

46.119

Compulsoryeducationduration

704

9.366

2.24

4

16

lnGNIpercapitaconstant2010US

803

8.521

1.517

5.347

11.687

lnExportsofgoodsandservicesc

847

23.265

2.288

16.832

28.428

lnImportofgoodsandserv

852

23.367

2.028

18.508

28.687

Lifeexpectancyatbirthtotal

1159

68.005

9.847

31.037

84.278

Laborforceparticipationrate

1104

50.222

16.152

6.106

90.784

APPENDIX 2

Figure A2.1Breusch and Pagan Lagrangian multiplier test for random effects for model (4) for GII

Figure A2.2 Breusch and Pagan Lagrangian multiplier test for random effects for model (5) for NMR

APPENDIX 3

Figure A3.1Cluster-Robust Hausman Tests for model (4) for GII

Figure A3.2Cluster-Robust Hausman Tests for model (5) for NMR

APPENDIX 4

Table A4.1 RE regressions for Gender Inequality Index

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

VARIABLES

1

2

3

4

lnTotalnumberofemigrants

-0.0148***

-0.0137***

-0.0139***

-0.0132***

(0.00489)

(0.00476)

(0.00489)

(0.00508)

lnRemittancespercapita

0.00309

0.00309

0.00300

0.00303

(0.00283)

(0.00289)

(0.00287)

(0.00289)

lngdppercap2010

-0.0670***

-0.0638***

-0.0622***

-0.0621***

(0.00956)

(0.00946)

(0.0111)

(0.0114)

lnNetODAreceivedpercapitacon

0.00164

0.00217

0.00222

0.00210

(0.00350)

(0.00349)

(0.00353)

(0.00356)

GlobalizationIndex

-0.00437***

-0.00422***

-0.00424***

-0.00427***

(0.000563)

(0.000593)

(0.000591)

(0.000590)

SchoolEnrollmentTertiary

-0.000363*

-0.000355*

-0.000358*

(0.000205)

(0.000205)

(0.000201)

GovernmentEffectiveness

-0.00396

-0.00506

(0.0121)

(0.0123)

PoliticalStability

0.00257

(0.00657)

Constant

1.429***

1.385***

1.375***

1.369***

(0.0948)

(0.0937)

(0.101)

(0.100)

Observations

388

388

385

384

Numberofid

109

109

108

107

r2_o

0.467

0.480

0.478

0.473

r2_w

0.645

0.646

0.646

0.647

r2_b

0.468

0.480

0.476

0.466

The dependent variable is Gender Inequality Index. Clustered standard errors by country in parentheses

*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1

Table A4.2 RE regressions for Neonatal Mortality Rate

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

VARIABLES

1

2

3

4

5

lnTotalnumberofemigrants

-0.121***

-0.0686***

-0.0621**

-0.0457*

-0.00546

(0.0220)

(0.0243)

(0.0266)

(0.0259)

(0.0257)

lnRemittancespercapita

-0.0291**

-0.0226*

-0.0195

-0.0185

-0.0235**

(0.0132)

(0.0125)

(0.0135)

(0.0132)

(0.0113)

lngdppercap2010

-0.624***

-0.475***

-0.443***

-0.450***

-0.383***

(0.0343)

(0.0382)

(0.0420)

(0.0405)

(0.0424)

GovernmentEffectiveness

-0.0318

-0.0139

-0.0205

-0.0504

-0.132***

(0.0442)

(0.0401)

(0.0439)

(0.0446)

(0.0421)

TradepercentofGDP

-0.00151***

-0.00147***

-0.00150***

-0.00139***

-0.000699

(0.000444)

(0.000406)

(0.000412)

(0.000414)

(0.000468)

Lifeexpectancyatbirthfemale

-0.0271***

-0.0276***

-0.0271***

-0.0274***

(0.00518)

(0.00578)

(0.00541)

(0.00625)

FemaleUnemployment

0.000370

0.00137

0.00229

-0.00248

(0.00294)

(0.00321)

(0.00322)

(0.00323)

ShadoweconomypercentofGDP

0.00348

0.00432*

0.00256

(0.00236)

(0.00241)

(0.00212)

PoliticalStability

0.0748***

0.0723***

(0.0226)

(0.0232)

Compulsoryeducationduration

-0.0219***

(0.00704)

CurrentHealthExpenditure

-0.0297***

(0.00685)

Constant

9.465***

9.448***

9.005***

8.766***

8.136***

(0.362)

(0.354)

(0.423)

(0.414)

(0.392)

Observations

673

646

576

571

431

Numberofid

159

152

133

132

121

r2_o

0.787

0.836

0.857

0.855

0.878

r2_w

0.641

0.694

0.700

0.706

0.708

r2_b

0.790

0.840

0.864

0.862

0.883

The dependent variable is the logarithm of Neonatal Mortality Rate. Clustered standard errors by country in parentheses

*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1

APPENDIX 5

Figure A5.1 VIF for model (4) for GII

Figure A5.2 VIF for model (5) for NMR

APPENDIX 6

Figure A6.1 Underidentification and Weak identification tests for instrument for model (2) for GII

Figure A6.2 Underidentification and Weak identification tests for instrument for model (3) for NMR

APPENDIX 7

Figure A7.1 Underidentification and Weak identification tests for instrument for model (2) for GII with lagged independent variables

Figure A7.1 Underidentification and Weak identification tests for instrument for model (3) for NMR with lagged independent variables

APPENDIX 8

Figure A8.1 VIF for model (2) for GII

Figure A8.2 VIF for model (3) for NMR

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