Corporate governance and performance during a global crisis

Exploring of the theoretical relationship, independent and joint effect of leverage, institutes and overall corporate governance on company’s performance during the global crisis. Construction of the model, which quantitatively estimates the effect.

Рубрика Менеджмент и трудовые отношения
Вид магистерская работа
Язык английский
Дата добавления 02.09.2018
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Chapter 5. Conclusion

In the study, we tried to explore the effects of corporate governance, leverage and institutional factors on the company's performance during the Global crisis. We also used interactions of these factors to investigate complex influence on the key performance indicators.

We used cross-sectional regression method and tested four hypotheses, one of which was statistically confirmed. We used data for 751 non-financial companies from 24 developed countries for 2007-2009 years.

The main result of the research was that leverage decrease the effect of corporate governance and institutions on the ROA and Stock returns. We showed that solely leverage had negative influence on ROA and Stock returns and positive on profit volatility.

We conducted research, which stand out among other papers by including into analysis interactions between institutions and leverage. Additionally, we tested the interactions between corporate governance and institutions, but results were insignificant. Despite the fact, that we did not obtain significant results concerning interaction terms, for further studies it would be interesting to use other metrics for corporate governance and institutions. Moreover, it would be great to use wider time-period for investigation to detect continuous effect of factors.

References

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36. Яковлев А.А., Данилов Ю. А., Симачев Ю. В. Глобальный финансовый кризис и корпоративное управление//Российский журнал менеджмента, 2010. - № 2 (8), с. 21-34

Appendix A. Countries Indices

Country

FTSI

MSCI

S&P

World Bank

IMF

OECD

Australia

+

+

+

+

+

+

Austria

+

+

+

+

+

+

Belgium

+

+

+

+

+

+

Canada

+

+

+

+

+

+

Cyprus

+

+

+

X

+

+

Denmark

+

+

+

+

+

+

Finland

+

+

+

+

+

+

France

+

+

+

+

+

+

Germany

+

+

+

+

+

+

Hong Kong SAR, China

+

+

+

+

+

+

Ireland

+

+

+

+

+

+

Italy

+

+

+

+

+

+

Iceland

+

X

+

X

+

+

Japan

+

+

+

+

+

+

Korea

+

+

+

+

+

+

Luxembourg

+

+

+

+

+

+

Netherlands

+

+

+

+

+

+

New Zealand

+

+

+

+

+

+

Norway

+

+

+

+

+

+

Portugal

+

+

+

+

+

+

Singapore

+

+

+

+

+

+

Spain

+

+

+

+

+

+

Sweden

+

+

+

+

+

+

Switzerland

+

+

+

+

+

+

United Kingdom

+

+

+

+

+

+

Appendix B. Dates for stock returns

Country

Index

Start

Bottom

Australia

ASX 200

01.10.2007

01.02.2009

Austria

FWAO

01.06.2007

01.02.2009

Belgium

BEL20

01.06.2007

01.02.2009

United Kingdom

FTSE 100

01.11.2007

01.02.2009

Germany

DAX 30

01.08.2007

01.03.2009

Hong Kong

HSI

01.10.2007

01.11.2008

Denmark

OMX COPENHAGEN

01.06.2007

01.02.2009

Israel

TA-125

01.10.2007

01.12.2008

Ireland

ISEQ

01.05.2007

01.02.2009

Spain

IBEX 35

01.10.2007

01.02.2009

Italy

FTSE MIB

01.04.2007

01.02.2009

Canada

TSX

01.05.2008

01.02.2009

Luxembourg

LUXX

01.05.2008

01.03.2009

Netherlands

AEX

01.10.2007

01.02.2009

New Zealand

NZDOW

01.05.2007

01.03.2009

Norway

OSEAX

01.10.2007

01.02.2009

Portugal

PSI20

01.06.2007

01.02.2009

Singapore

MSCISG

01.10.2007

01.02.2009

USA

S&P 500

01.10.2007

01.02.2009

Finland

HEX25

01.10.2007

01.02.2009

France

CAC 40

01.05.2007

01.02.2009

Switzerland

SMI

01.05.2007

01.02.2009

Sweden

OMX 30

01.07.2007

01.01.2009

South Korea

KOSPI

01.10.2007

01.02.2009

Japan

Nikkei 225

01.06.2007

01.03.2009

Appendix C. Dependent variable - ROA For ROA 2009 the results were qualitatively the same, we decided not to overburden the study with identical information

In the table the results for ROA 2008 as dependent variable are presented. In the brackets, p-values are demonstrated. We run regressions with interaction between corporate governance indicators and institutions, but we did not report them as they were mostly insignificant and to save the space.

*- 5% significance level, ** - 10% significance level.

Factor

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

Leverage

-0.014 (0.023)*

-0.022 (0.016)*

-0.034 (0.019)*

-0.01 (0.013)

-0.028 (0.01)*

-0.02 (0.03)*

-0.012 (0.019)*

-0.0028 (0.029)*

-0.009 (0.013)*

-0.008 (0.011)*

-0.012 (0.011)*

-0.014 (0.015)*

-0.01

(0.013)*

-0.012 (0.011)*

-0.01 (0.01)*

-0.009 (0.014)*

-0.019 (0.016)*

-0.011 (0.018)*

EBIT/total assets

0.0001 (0.01)*

0.000 (0.013)*

0.000 (0.01)*

0.021 (0.02)

0.027 (0.021)*

0.029 (0.027)*

0.027 (0.024)*

0.027 (0.02)*

0.023 (0.02)*

0.022 (0.02)*

0.023 (0.03)*

0.021 (0.032)*

0.021

(0.02)*

0.021 (0.01)*

0.02 (0.02)*

0.025 (0.03)*

0.02 (0.02)*

0.028 (0.023)*

Ln_Revenue

-0.0032 (0.15)

-0.0033 (0.13)

-0.002 (0.13)

-0.001 (0.12)

-0.001 (0.12)

-0.001 (0.11)

-0.012 (0.15)

-0.001 (0.12)

-0.001 (0.14)

-0.002 (0.14)

-0.000 (0.18)

-0.003 (0.11)

-0.001 (0.12)

-0.0008 (0.13)

-0.019 (0.2)

-0.002 (0.11)

-0.001 (0.12)

-0.009 (0.19)

Dummy_industrials

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

ESG_score

0.02 (0.001)*

0.034 (0.001)*

0.08 (0.024)*

0.1 (0.045)*

0.1 (0.045)*

0.089 (0.01)*

ESG_score*Leverage

-0.012 (0.012)*

-0.03 (0.01)*

-0.31 (0.06)**

0.041 (0.036)*

0.041 (0.036)*

0.038 (0.03)*

Shareholders_score

0.0189 (0.012)*

0.021 (0.014)*

0.03 (0.035)*

0.078 (0.007)*

0.078 (0.027)*

0.034 (0.021)*

Shareholders_Score*leverage

-0.023 (0.042)*

-0.019 (0.021)*

-0.035 (0.027)*

-0.029 (0.03)*

-0.029 (0.03)*

0.0001 (0.12)

Management_Score

0.017 (0.02)*

0.021 (0.049)*

0.022 (0.039)*

0.034 (0.026)*

0.034 (0.026)*

0.046 (0.03)*

Management_Score*Leverage

-0.018 (0.04)*

-0.020 (0.05)*

-0.029 (0.045)*

-0.027 (0.04)*

-0.027 (0.04)*

-0.046 (0.002)*

VoiceansAccountability

0.0004 (0.4)

0.018

(0.14)

0.017 (0.14)

VoiceansAccountability*Leverage

0.0123 (0.58)

0.0123 (0.58)

0.013 (0.42)

Political_StabilityNoViolence

0.000 (0.31)

-0.02 (0.11)

0.021 (0.11)

Political_StabilityNoViolence*Leverage

0.043 (0.38)

0.015 (0.6)

0.013 (0.34)

GovernmentEffectiveness

-0.023 (0.02)*

0.009 (0.04)*

-0.021 (0.11)

GovernmentEffectiveness*Leverage

0.05 (0.29)

0.037 (0.09)**

0.013 (0.34)

RegulatoryQuality

0.4

(0.27)

0.14 (0.34)

0.063 (0.17)

RegulatoryQuality*Leverage

0.098 (0.41)

0.078 (0.19)

0.027 (0.31)

RuleofLaw

0.21 (0.02)*

0.094 (0.043)*

0.06 (0.07)**

RuleofLaw*Leverage

0.01 (0.016)*

0.021 (0.11)

0.07 (0.12)

ControlofCorruption

0.01 (0.19)

0.04 (0.37)

0.09 (0.07)**

ControlofCorruption*Leverage

0.1 (0.06)**

0.025 (0.15)

0.017 (0.18)

Aggregate effect of leverage

-0.09

(0.04)*

-0.11

(0.03)*

-0.12

(0.03)*

-0.08

(0.05)*

-0.1

(0.04)*

-0.11

(0.03)*

-0.09

(0.03)*

-0.14

(0.04)*

-0.09

(0.04)*

-0.12

(0.03)*

-0.09

(0.05)*

-0.1

(0.06)**

-0.14

(0.04)*

-0.09

(0.03)*

-0.07

(0.03)*

-0.1

(0.04)*

-0.11

(0.03)*

-0.06

(0.05)*

Aggregate effect of corporate governance

0.1

(0.05)*

0.02

(0.04)*

0.07

(0.03)*

0.12

(0.05)*

0.04

(0.02)*

0.1

(0.04)*

0.09

(0.06)**

0.11

(0.05)*

0.06

(0.04)*

0.08

(0.04)*

0.11

(0.07)**

0.1

(0.05)*

0.05

(0.04)*

0.03

(0.04)*

0.1

(0.03)*

0.08

(0.05)*

0.12

(0.04)*

0.14

(0.03)*

Aggregate effect of institutes

0.05

(0.12)

0.01

(0.17)

0.009

(0.15)

0.03

(0.1)**

0.008

(0.12)

0.01

(0.11)

0.008

(0.16)

0.04

(0.13)

0.006

(0.19)

0.03

(0.12)

0.004

(0.17)

0.05

(0.18)

0.005

(0.14)

0.009

(0.12)

0.09

(0.19)

0.09

(0.18)

0.05

(0.2)

0.009

(0.11)

R2

22.30%

24.60%

21.65%

22.41%

23.96%

24.65%

22.30%

21.86%

22.15%

23.76%

21.81%

23.64%

22.59%

24.40%

21.70%

22.15%

24.76%

21.43%

F-value

N

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

Appendix D. Dependent variable - Profit Volatility

In the table the results for Profit volatility as dependent variable are presented. In the brackets, p-values are demonstrated. For each specification R-square and F-value are shown.. We run regressions with interaction between corporate governance indicators and institutions, but we did not report them as they were mostly insignificant and to save the space.

*- 5% significance level, ** - 10% significance level.

Factor

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

Leverage

0.01 (0.025)*

0.03 (0.01)*

0.05 (0.04)*

0.012 (0.04)*

0.019 (0.01)*

0.02 (0.02)*

0.03 (0.019)*

0.032 (0.021)*

0.011 (0.01)*

0.11 (0.021)*

0.11 (0.02)*

0.02 (0.04)*

0.011

(0.021)*

0.03 (0.02)*

0.01 (0.02)*

0.038 (0.05)*

0.033 (0.023)*

0.061 (0.021)*

EBIT/total assets

0.0001 (0.02)*

0.000 (0.07)**

0.000 (0.06)**

0.002 (0.04)*

0.004 (0.07)**

0.001 (0.04)*

0.000 (0.04)*

0.003 (0.02)*

0.000 (0.05)*

0.001 (0.05)*

0.008 (0.03)*

0.0001 (0.032)*

0.000

(0.041)*

0.003 (0.05)*

0.001 (0.062)**

0.002 (0.02)*

0.001 (0.034)*

0.009 (0.049)*

Ln_Revenue

0.02 (0.08)**

0.003 (0.11)

0.009 (0.1)**

0.001 (0.09)**

0.00 (0.14)

0.003 (0.13)

0.006 (0.11)

0.00 (0.17)

0.002 (0.07)**

0.001 (0.06)**

0.00 (0.1)

-0.003 (0.08)**

0.00 (0.07)**

-0.002 (0.15)

-0.00 (0.12)

-0.003 (0.09)**

-0.001 (0.09)**

0.00 (0.15)

Dummy_Industrials

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

ESG_score

-0.002 (0.03)*

-0.003 (0.01)*

-0.006 (0.03)*

-0.01 (0.04)*

-0.01 (0.038)*

-0.05 (0.04)*

ESG_score*Leverage

0.002 (0.03)*

0.03 (0.03)*

0.04 (0.05)*

0.06 (0.031)*

0.04 (0.037)*

0.05 (0.037)*

Shareholders_score

0.004 (0.03)*

0.01 (0.044)*

0.02 (0.035)*

0.027 (0.036)*

0.09 (0.037)*

0.11 (0.039)*

Shareholders_Score*leverage

-0.017 (0.038)*

-0.02 (0.04)*

-0.015 (0.04)*

-0.03 (0.03)*

-0.019 (0.04)*

-0.011 (0.046)*

Management_Score

-0.007 (0.12)

-0.01 (0.11)

-0.031 (0.12)

-0.15 (0.025)*

-0.02 (0.039)*

-0.01 (0.03)*

Management_Score*Leverage

-0.02 (0.06)**

-0.02 (0.05)*

-0.05 (0.05)*

-0.008 (0.048)*

-0.15 (0.05)*

-0.11 (0.029)*

VoiceansAccountability

-1.21 (0.19)

-1.42 (0.21)

-1.24 (0.24)

VoiceansAccountability*Leverage

-0.76 (0.23)

-0.11 (0.25)

-0.66 (0.22)

Political_StabilityNoViolence

-0.16 (0.2)

-0.22 (0.28)

-0.21 (0.27)

Political_StabilityNoViolence*Leverage

2.11 (0.12)

1.14 (0.19)

1.75 (0.19)

GovernmentEffectiveness

-0.5 (0.04)*

-0.7 (0.038)*

-1.09 (0.07)**

GovernmentEffectiveness*Leverage

0.33 (0.14)

0.37 (0.1)**

0.35 (0.14)

RegulatoryQuality

-1.35 (0.19)

-1.1 (0.21)

-1.12 (0.07)**

RegulatoryQuality*Leverage

0.43 (0.19)

0.35 (0.13)

0.27 (0.19)

RuleofLaw

-0.39 (0.041)*

-0.87 (0.06)**

-0.19 (0.09)**

RuleofLaw*Leverage

0.003 (0.039)*

0.031 (0.041)*

0.045 (0.05)*

ControlofCorruption

-0.21 (0.09)**

-0.029 (0.14)

-0.074 (0.15)

ControlofCorruption*Leverage

0.021 (0.07)**

0.01 (0.07)**

0.009 (0.08)**

Aggregate effect of leverage

0.07 (0.03)*

0.09

(0.04)*

0.1

(0.03)*

0.009

(0.04)*

0.08

(0.03)*

0.16

(0.02)*

0.1

(0.02)*

0.09

(0.05)*

0. 08

(0.03)*

0.05

(0.04)*

0.06

(0.04)*

0.1

(0.06)**

0.14

(0.04)*

0.08

(0.02)*

0.09

(0.04)*

0.12

(0.05)*

0.07

(0.04)*

0.07

(0.06)**

Aggregate effect of corporate governance

-0.08

(0.04)*

-0.06

(0.05)*

-0.09

(0.04)*

-0.16

(0.05)*

-0.07

(0.04)*

-0.09

(0.04)*

-0.1

(0.04)*

-0.1

(0.06)**

-0.08

(0.03)*

-0.09

(0.05)*

-0.13

(0.06)**

-0.1

(0.05)*

-0.05

(0.04)*

-0.08

(0.05)*

-0.14

(0.05)*

-0.09

(0.04)*

-0.1

(0.05)*

-0.11

(0.05)*

Aggregate effect of institutes

-0.09

(0.14)

-0.1

(0.2)

-0.02

(0.19)

-0.02

(0.14)

-0.01

(0.17)

-0.08

(0.1)**

-0.012

(0.12)

-0.13

(0.18)

-0.009

(0.13)

-0.08

(0.18)

-0.009

(0.15)

-0.05

(0.18)

-0.008

(0.16)

-0.01

(0.19)

-0.12

(0.11)

-0.1

(0.17)

-0.1

(0.16)

-0.01

(0.14)

R2

24.7%

32.1%

26.5%

28.5%

26.4%

29.5%

22.1%

23.4%

24.8%

25.6%

24.7%

21.4%

21.9%

24.6%

25.1%

23.9%

23.5%

21.7%

F-value

N

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

Appendix E. Dependent variable - Stock Return

In the table the results for Stock return as dependent variable are presented. In the brackets, p-values are demonstrated. For each specification R-square and F-value are shown.. We run regressions with interaction between corporate governance indicators and institutions, but we did not report them as they were mostly insignificant and to save the space.

*- 5% significance level, ** - 10% significance level.

Factor

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

35

36

Market Leverage

-0.119 (0.032)*

-0.23 (0.01)*

-0.123 (0.03)*

-0.204 (0.03)*

-0.213 (0.04)*

-0.116 (0.021)*

-0.215 (0.032)*

-0.114 (0.031)*

-0.21 (0.01)*

-0.12 (0.042)*

-0.172 (0.047)*

-0.257 (0.037)*

-0.146 (0.023)*

-0.161 (0.037)*

-0.093 (0.034)*

-0.122 (0.033)*

-0.233 (0.015)*

-0.241 (0.033)*

-0.198 (0.049)*

-0.208 (0.02)*

-0.149 (0.026)*

-0.152 (0.028)*

Ln_Revenue

0.02 (0.002)*

0.02 (0.003)*

0.04 (0.01)*

0.04 (0.03)*

0.001 (0.02)*

0.000 (0.05)*

0.001 (0.04)*

0.000 (0.09)**

0.003 (0.04)*

0.001 (0.04)*

0.001 (0.051)**

0.002 (0.012)*

0.000 (0.06)**

0.000 (0.01)*

0.004 (0.027)*

0.011 (0.032)*

0.002 (0.042)*

0.001 (0.048)*

0.002 (0.019)*

0.000 (0.014)*

-0.002 (0.039)*

0.000 (0.015)*

Dummy_Industrials

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

yes

ESG_score

0.014 (0.023)*

0.001 (0.03)*

0.012 (0.048)*

0.007 (0.07)**

0.02 (0.017)*

0.08 (0.06)**

0.01 (0.038)*

0.1 (0.063)**

ESG_score*Leverage

-0.003 (0.157)

-0.008 (0.02)*

-0.001 (0.043)*

-0.061 (0.06)**

Shareholders_score

0.001 (0.024)*

0.005 (0.033)*

0.01 (0.029)*

0.09 (0.031)*

0.11 (0.012)*

0.09 (0.055)**

Shareholders_Score*leverage

-0.003 (0.12)

0.009 (0.09)**

-0.005 (0.07)**

Management_Score

0.003 (0.04)*

0.005 (0.05)*

0.01 (0.02)*

0.12 (0.09)**

0.07 (0.041)*

0.017 (0.11)

0.16 (0.048)*

0.21 (0.071)**

Management_Score*Leverage

-0.02 (0.06)**

-0.03 (0.04)*

-0.14 (0.06)**

-0.21 (0.032)*

VoiceandAccountability

-0.04 (0.11)

-0.08 (0.14)

-0.11 (0.21)

-0.32 (0.2)

-0.39 (0.14)

-0.44 (0.11)

VoiceandAccountability

*Leverage

-0.76 (0.057)**

-0.89 (0.11)

-0.45 (0.09)**

-0.42 (0.07)**

-0.46 (0.09)**

-0.76 (0.19)

Political_StabilityNoViolence

-0.001 (0.19)

-0.06 (0.15)

-0.02 (0.18)

-0.03 (0.17)

-0.08 (0.18)

-0.08 (0.12)

Political_StabilityNoViolence*

Leverage

-1.02 (0.14)

-1.003 (0.1)**

-1.2 (0.11)

-1.04 (0.09)**

-1.33 (0.12)

-0.89 (0.09)**

GovernmentEffectiveness

0.07 (0.1)**

0.11 (0.09)**

0.09 (0.053)**

0.15 (0.031)*

0.08 (0.052)**

0.1 (0.052)**

GovernmentEffectiveness

*Leverage

-0.82 (0.14)

-0.72 (0.1)**

-0.57 (0.08)**

-0.71 (0.13)

-0.44 (0.13)

-1.02 (0.09)**

RegulatoryQuality

0.41 (0.17)

0.21 (0.22)

RegulatoryQuality*Leverage

0.088 (0.19)

0.093 (0.13)

RuleofLaw

0.091 (0.06)**

0.078 (0.11)

RuleofLaw*Leverage

0.016 (0.11)

0.016 (0.26)

ControlofCorruption

0.006 (0.24)

0.011 (0.19)

ControlofCorruption*Leverage

0.015 (0.18)

-0.003 (0.22)

Aggregate effect of leverage

-0.1

(0.05)*

-0.09

(0.04)*

-0.07

(0.04)*

-0.08

(0.05)*

-0.1

(0.04)*

-0.11

(0.03)*

-0.07

(0.04)*

-0.09

(0.05)*

-0.11

(0.05)*

-0.06

(0.04)*

-0.07

(0.05)*

-0.09

(0.05)*

-0.11

(0.05)*

-0.14

(0.05)*

-0.09

(0.05)*

-0.14

(0.05)*

-0.11

(0.04)*

-0.08

(0.04)*

-0.12

(0.05)*

-0.08

(0.04)*

-0.16

(0.05)*

-0.09

(0.05)*

Aggregate effect of corporate governance

0.08

(0.04)*

0.07

(0.05)*

0.1

(0.04)*

0.12

(0.05)*

0.04

(0.02)*

0.1

(0.04)*

0.07

(0.07)**

0.12

(0.04)*

0.09

(0.03)*

0.09

(0.04)*

0.14

(0.09)**

0.11

(0.06)**

0.09

(0.05)*

0.09

(0.03)*

0.08

(0.04)*

0.09

(0.05)*

0.15

(0.05)*

0.11

(0.04)*

0.11

(0.06)**

0.1

(0.06)*

0.11

(0.05)*

0.09

(0.05)*

Aggregate effect of institutes

0.09

(0.13)

0.1

(0.14)

0.007

(0.11)

0.03

(0.1)**

0.008

(0.12)

0.01

(0.11)

0.01

(0.11)

0.05

(0.09)**

0.01

(0.12)

0.07

(0.13)

0.009

(0.11)

0.06

(0.11)

0.009

(0.13)

0.01

(0.11)

0.12

(0.12)

0.11

(0.13)

0.09

(0.18)

0.01

(0.15)

0.11

(0.16)

0.16

(0.11)

0.03

(0.1)**

0.09

(0.12)

R2

23.5%

24.4%

22.3%

23.7%

21.5%

21.9%

21.8%

23.5%

22.3%

23.7%

23.2%

22.4%

21.8%

23.5%

23.3%

21.3%

24.1%

25.3%

22.6%

24.2%

20.1%

21.5%

F value

N

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

751

Factor

21

22

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

31

32

Market Leverage

-0.2 (0.019)*

-0.212 (0.015)*

-0.114 (0.021)*

-0.134 (0.012)*

-0.201

(0.024)*

-0.211

(0.043)*

-0.112 (0.011)*

-0.126 (0.02)*

-0.236 (0.042)*

-0.241 (0.01)*

-0.109 (0.034)*

-0.116 (0.019)*

Ln_Revenue

0.007 (0.02)*


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