Economic inequality of the regional development of Poland, Spain and Ukraine
Analysis of uneven regional economic development in Poland, Spain and Ukraine. Assessment of index of the unevenness of the economic development of the countries, the dynamics of changes in the population and comparison of regional economic statistics.
Рубрика | Экономика и экономическая теория |
Вид | статья |
Язык | английский |
Дата добавления | 04.09.2024 |
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Kyiv National Economic University named after Vadym Hetman
ECONOMIC INEQUALITY OF THE REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF POLAND, SPAIN AND UKRAINE
Andrii Buriachenko D.Sc. in Economics, Professor
Kateryna Levchenko PhD in Economics, Associate Professor
Bogdan Stetsenko D.Sc. in Economics, Associate Professor
Sergii Biriuk PhD in Economics, Associate Professor
Kyiv
ABSTRACT
regional economic uneven statistic
The current work analyzes uneven regional economic development in Poland, Spain and Ukraine. It was determined that the unevenness of the economic development of the regions of the studied countries can be assessed by comparing statistical indicators, namely the index of the unevenness of the economic development of the countries, the dynamics of changes in the population of the studied countries and the comparison of regional economic statistics, in particular the indicators of the gross regional product. In order to identify the unevenness of regional economic development and justify the possible ways of their smoothing or levelling, the article uses such integral indicators as the coefficient of variation or Williamson's coefficient of variation, weighted coefficient of variation, relative mean deviation and Theil Index. The study of the indicated indicators made it possible to reveal contradictions in their analysis and the need to calculate additional indicators, as well as the influence of factors of direct and indirect influence on the economic unevenness of the regional development of the studied European countries.
Keywords: GDP per capita, regional economy, uneven economic development
АНОТАЦІЯ
Буряченко А, Левченко К, Стеценко Б, Брюк С.
ЕКОНОМІЧНА НЕРІВНОМІРНІСТЬ РЕГІОНАЛЬНОГО РОЗВИТКУ ПОЛЬЩІ, ІСПАНІЇ ТА УКРАЇНИ
У роботі аналізується нерівномірність регіонального економічного розвитку Польщі, Іспанії та України. Визначено, що нерівномірність економічного розвитку регіонів досліджуваних країн можна оцінити шляхом порівняння статистичних показників, а саме індексу нерівномірності економічного розвитку країн, динаміки зміни кількості населення досліджуваних країн, порівняння регіональної економічної статистики, зокрема показників валового регіонального продукту. Для виявлення нерівномірності регіонального економічного розвитку та обґрунтування можливих шляхів
її згладжування чи нівелювання в статті використані такі інтегральні показники як коефіцієнт варіації або коефіцієнт варіації Вільямсона, зважений коефіцієнт варіації, відносне середнє відхилення та індекс Тейла. Дослідження вказаних показників дозволило виявити суперечності в їх аналізі та необхідність розрахунку додаткових показників, а також вплив факторів прямого й опосередкованого впливу на економічну нерівномірність регіонального розвитку досліджуваних європейських країн.
Ключові слова: ВВП на душу населення, регіональна економіка, нерівномірність економічного розвитку
INTRODUCTION
The modern world is extremely diverse in terms of economic development. It is important to emphasize that uneven economic development can be detected not only in the process of comparing statistical indicators of developed countries, countries with economies in transition or actual developing countries. In modern conditions, uneven economic development is inherent in any socio-economic system at the level of the enterprise, region or country. If at the level of enterprises the role of owners of global value chains with gross income, which may exceed the GDP of individual countries, is growing, then at the level of regions of any country the conditions for effective entrepreneurship and safe living of the local population is being formed. It is obvious that the growth of the level of regional inequality of economic development within an individual country can lead to instability and deterioration of the level and quality of life of the population in relatively backward regions of the research country.
The above determines the relevance of the study of the economic development inequality phenomenon of particular European countries' regions in the following areas:
1. The need to record, study, and identify the causes and preconditions of uneven economic development of regions for each of the countries, similar in territorial and demographic characteristics, as well as trends in general economic development - Poland, Spain and Ukraine, despite the fact that Spain can be characterized as an "old" EU country, Poland as a "more recent" EU country and Ukraine as an EU candidate;
2. Assessing the level of economic development of the regions of Poland, Spain and Ukraine over the long term during which the impact of all factors is likely to change (2011-2022);
3. Assessing the impact of the demographic factor on uneven economic development phenomenon of the researched countries' regions;
4. Analysis of economic inequality integrated indicators of the regions' development of the researched European countries where the reform of decentralization of the economic development central management functions at the regional level has been carried out or is being carried out.
LITERATURE REVIEW
In the scientific literature, there are a significant number of works that directly or indirectly study the patterns of uneven socio-economic development in the spatial dimension. The results of the review of such selected studies concern both a group of countries and a particular country.
Generalized research shows that despite the continuing recovery of the world economy, there is still an increase in the gap between developed countries, countries with economies in transition or developing countries [1]. The focus of research of some scholars is the uneven development of European countries [2]. Also, there is a comparison of income levels of particular countries [3] and even regions specifically [4, 5] which are the focus of large international business groups.
It is worth considering a study aimed at determining the contribution of industry and other sectors of the economy to regional divergence in Eastern Europe, in particular, in Poland and Ukraine [6, 7]. Regional inequalities in economic growth are observed in most countries and regions of some countries when studies focus on the peculiarities of convergence or divergence for the regions of Ukraine [8], as well as regional disparities in socio-economic development [9, 10, 11].
In the case of Poland, the level of economic security in Polish regions was measured [12]. An assessment of changes in income inequality was also conducted on the basis of survey data and tax returns [13]. In addition, studying the history of income distribution in Poland during 1892-2015 revealed the main role of state institutions and public policy in shaping income inequality in the long run [14]. In turn, researching the influence of historical heritage on the spatial differentiation of socio-economic development of Poland at the local level highlighted the phenomenon of uneven economic development of three groups of regions that were once ruled by other countries [15]. The role of Polish voivodships, which create the conditions necessary for the long-term economic and social development of their territories [16], is determined.
In turn, in scientific circles, Spain is considered a country with high regional inequality. Thus, the analysis of the evolution of inequality in regional GDP per capita in Spain shows that the reduction of regional inequality in economic development is accompanied by a geographical concentration of the richest regions in northeastern Spain and the poorest regions in the south [17].
The results of selected research works review on the particular topic give reason to believe in the significant impact of industrial revolutions, globalization and regionalization of international trade in the emergence of uneven economic development phenomenon of any socioeconomic system. In addition, there is a widespread opinion in scientific circles that modern globalization, despite the reduction of global inequality of economic development, i.e. economic inequality between countries, contributes to increasing the level of uneven economic development of regions in the researched countries.
AIMS AND OBJECTIVES
The article is aimed at studying the uneven regional economic development of Poland, Spain and Ukraine.
The objectives of the study are: to determine the index of uneven economic development of the countries, dynamics of population change in the studied countries and set of quantitative and qualitative indicators reflecting the current state of the region's economy and the dynamics of its change.
METHODS
The uneven economic development of the researched countries' regions can be assessed by comparing regional economic statistics, including indicators of gross regional product, indicators of economic activity of enterprises in the regions, indicators reflecting the dynamics of changes in foreign trade in goods and services of each region, in particular, indicators of statistics, development of science and technology in the region, indicators of information society development and environmental protection by regions of countries. The indicators of demographic and social statistics of the studied region in terms of population and migration indicators, indicators of local labor markets as well as indicators of income and expenditure of local households are also taken into account. In addition, the economic development of countries and their regions, in particular, is assessed using a set of indices that determine the place in the world rankings generally.
The following integrated indicators were used to study the uneven economic development of the respective country [18]:
1. The coefficient of variation or Williamson S coefficient of variation is a relative quantity that characterizes the varia bility of a particular characteristic. The value of the specified coefficient is from 0% to 100%. A larger value of the coefficient indicates a greater deviation of the value of the characteristic from the average. The coefficient of variation is used in the practice of estimating regional inequality by comparing the average deviation of per capita income in the regions as a whole per one territorial unit with the average value of the corresponding indicator in the country as a whole. Williamson's coefficient of variation is calculated by the formula:
where у - the GDP per capita in a given region; yu -- GDP per capita on average in the country, N - number of regions.
In turn, GDP per capita on average in the country is calculated by the formula:
Initially, this expression is calculated separately for each of the regions. Then from the sum of the calculated values, we get the square root, and the result is divided by the GDP per capita on average in the country.
The values of the indicator considered in the dynamics are not objective because it does not take into account the weight of the regions in terms of population.
2. Weighted coefficient of variation - used to eliminate the problem that is characteristic of the previous indicator. The weighted coefficient of variation takes into account the change in the value that causes a change in the characteristic for which the analysis is performed. That is, it takes into account the share of the region's population in the total population of the country to assess the deviation of the value of income per capita from the national average. This coefficient is calculated by the formula:
where у - the GDP per capita in a given region; y - GDP per capita on average in the country; ^the share of the region's population in its total population in the country.
Initially, the expression in the numerator is calculated separately for each region. Then from the sum of the found values, we get a square root, and we divide the received result by GDP per capita on the average in the country.
4. Relative mean deviation - the indicator reflects the degree of regional inequality, taking into account both the number of regions and the proportionality of population distribution in them. This coefficient is calculated by the formula:
Initially, the numerator expression is also calculated separately for each region. In contrast to the previous coefficients, it calculates the absolute deviation of the value of GDP per capita by region from the corresponding value on average in the country. Then the sum of the values found is divided by GDP per capita on average in the country.
5. Theil Index - an indicator not only identifies regional inequalities but also reflects to some extent the relationship and interdependence between income and population in the region. It is used to measure social inequality. The Theil index has significant advantages in its ability to be divided into components by groups for which social inequality is assessed - it will be the weighted sum of the indices of each group and the indicator of social inequality. This index is calculated by the formula:
where x і - the share of GDP per capita in the region, and q, - the corresponding share of the region's population. First, we calculate the value of the expression for each of the regions and then find their total sum.
RESULTS
The indicator that makes it possible to assess the economic development of countries and their regions in the world rankings should include the index of uneven economic development of the country (Table 1), which has been calculated by the research institute Fund for Peace since 2007. This index takes into account inequality within the national economy regardless of the actual state of the country's economy under study. The higher the value of the index of uneven economic development of the country, the greater the level of uneven economic development of the country's regions in particular.
Table 1
Uneven economic development index by country, 0 (low) - 10 (high), points. (Source: GlobalEconomy.com, 2022[19])
Year |
Poland |
Spain |
Ukraine |
Europe (41 countries) |
World (176 countries) |
|
2011 |
4.70 |
4.70 |
5.90 |
4.64 |
6.59 |
|
2012 |
4.40 |
4.40 |
5.60 |
4.40 |
6.42 |
|
2013 |
3.90 |
4.10 |
5.30 |
4.14 |
6.31 |
|
2014 |
3.80 |
3.80 |
5.00 |
3.97 |
6.19 |
|
2015 |
3.50 |
4.00 |
4.70 |
3.81 |
6.10 |
|
2016 |
3.20 |
3.70 |
4.40 |
3.56 |
6.01 |
|
2017 |
3.00 |
3.50 |
4.20 |
3.37 |
5.85 |
|
2018 |
2.70 |
3.20 |
3.90 |
3.10 |
5.63 |
|
2019 |
2.40 |
2.90 |
3.60 |
2.89 |
5.44 |
|
2020 |
2.10 |
2.60 |
3.30 |
2.61 |
5.24 |
|
2021 |
2.40 |
2.90 |
3.20 |
х |
х |
|
2022 |
2.20 |
3.00 |
2.90 |
х |
х |
To assess the dynamics of changes in the values of the index of uneven economic development, we present data for Poland, Spain and Ukraine from 2011 to 2022. The average value of the index of uneven economic development of Poland for this period was 2.92 index points with a minimum of 2.10 index points in 2020 and a maximum of 4.70 index points in 2011. In turn, the average value for Spain during the period 2011-2022 was 3.37 index points with a minimum of 2.60 index points in 2020 and a maximum of 4.70 index points in 2011. In addition, the average value of the index of uneven economic development of Ukraine for this period was 4.05 index points with a minimum of 2.90 index points in 2022 and a maximum of 5.90 index points in 2011. For comparison, the world average value of the economic inequality index in 2020 based on 176 countries was 5.24 index points, while the average value of the economic inequality index of 41 European countries was 2.61 index points. It follows that Spain is considered an EU country with relatively high stable regional disparities in economic development, while Poland and Ukraine in 1990, declaring state sovereignty, underwent major changes in the transition to a market economy.
The uneven economic development of the researched countries' regions contributes to the reduction of regional economies in Poland, Spain and Ukraine neglecting human capital in order to achieve high levels of consumption at the regional level [20]. Let's compare the dynamics of population change in the studied countries from 2011 to 2022 (Figure 1).
Figure 1 Population by country (2013-2022), million people. (Source: World Bank Open Data, 2022[21])
The population of Poland in 2022 was 37.6 million people. Over the last 12 years, the population of the researched country has decreased by 1.26 %. In turn, the population of Spain for the period 2011-2022 increased by 2.0 1.3% and amounted to 47.6 million people due to immigration. In addition, the population of Ukraine during this period decreased due to the loss of control over part of its own territories and amounted to 43.8 million people. Common problems in the demographic situation of the researched countries from 2011 to 2022 are the low birth rate and the ageing of the local population.
To assess the impact of the demographic factor on the phenomenon of uneven economic development of the researched countries' regions, we compare the population by region for the period 2011-2022, since the specified statistical data are necessary for the calculation of most of the integral indicators of the unevenness of the countries' economic development, which were given in the Methods section. The population in Poland lives in 17 regions:
¦ Warmian-Masurian, Greater Poland, West Pomeranian, Kuyavian-Pomeranian, LodM, Lublin, Lubuskie, Masovian, Lesser Poland, Lower Silesia, Opole, Podkarpackie, Podlasie, Pomerania, Cwi^tokrzyskie and Silesian Voivodeships;
¦ Warsaw - the capital of Poland and the administrative centre of the Masovian Voivodeship.
The self-government bodies of these regions provide solutions to the issues of balanced development of the Polish economy. Typically, the Polish voivodeship has a population of over 2-3 million or 4-6% of the total population of Poland (Table 2).
Table 2
Population by regions of Poland (2011-2022), thousand people. (Source: Statistics Poland, 2022; World Population Review, 2022[22])
Regions |
2011 |
2012 |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
|
Lower Silesian |
2916.6 |
2914.4 |
2910.0 |
2908.5 |
2904.2 |
2903.7 |
2902.5 |
2901.2 |
2900.2 |
2891.3 |
2880.4 |
2888.0 |
|
Kuyavian-Pomeranian |
2098.4 |
2096.4 |
2092.6 |
2090.0 |
2086.2 |
2083.9 |
2082.9 |
2077.8 |
2072.4 |
2061.4 |
2047.9 |
2006.9 |
|
Lublin |
2171.9 |
2165.7 |
2156,2 |
2147.7 |
2139,7 |
2133.3 |
2126.3 |
2117.6 |
2108.3 |
2095.3 |
2076.4 |
2024.6 |
|
Lubusz |
1023.2 |
1023.3 |
1021.5 |
1020.3 |
1018.1 |
1017.4 |
1016.8 |
1014.5 |
1011.6 |
1007.1 |
999.2 |
979.9 |
|
Lodz |
2533.7 |
2524.7 |
2513.1 |
2504.1 |
2493.6 |
2485.3 |
2476.3 |
2466.3 |
2454.8 |
2437.9 |
2416.9 |
2378.5 |
|
Lesser Poland |
3346.8 |
3354.1 |
3360.6 |
3368.3 |
3372.6 |
3382.3 |
3391.4 |
3400.6 |
3410.9 |
3410.4 |
3407.7 |
3429.0 |
|
Masovian |
5286.6 |
5301.8 |
5316.8 |
5334.5 |
5349.1 |
5365.9 |
5384.6 |
5403.4 |
5423.2 |
5425.0 |
5419.7 |
5510.6 |
|
Opole |
1014.0 |
1010.2 |
1004.4 |
1000.9 |
996.0 |
993.0 |
990.1 |
986.5 |
982.6 |
976.8 |
969.4 |
942.4 |
|
Subcarpathian |
2128.7 |
2130.0 |
2129.3 |
2129.2 |
2127.7 |
2127.7 |
2129.1 |
2129.0 |
2127.2 |
2121.2 |
2110.7 |
2079.1 |
|
Podlaskie |
1201.0 |
1198.7 |
1195.0 |
1191.9 |
1188.8 |
1186.6 |
1184.5 |
1181.5 |
1178.4 |
1173.3 |
1165.3 |
1143.4 |
|
Pomeranian |
2283.5 |
2290.1 |
2295.8 |
2302.1 |
2307.7 |
2315.6 |
2324.3 |
2333.5 |
2343.9 |
2346.7 |
2347.0 |
2358.3 |
|
Silesian |
4626.4 |
4615.9 |
4599.4 |
4585.9 |
4570.8 |
4559.2 |
4548.2 |
4533.6 |
4517.6 |
4492.3 |
4455.9 |
4346.7 |
|
Holy Cross |
1278.1 |
1274.0 |
1268.2 |
1263.2 |
1257.2 |
1252.9 |
1247.7 |
1241.5 |
1234.0 |
1224.6 |
1212.6 |
1178.2 |
|
Warmian-Masurian |
1452.6 |
1450.7 |
1446.9 |
1444.0 |
1439.7 |
1436.4 |
1433.9 |
1429.0 |
1422.7 |
1416.5 |
1405.5 |
1366.4 |
|
Warsaw City |
1706.6 |
1713.0 |
1722.0 |
1731.1 |
1740.2 |
1749.4 |
1758.6 |
1767.8 |
1775.9 |
1783.3 |
1789.6 |
1794.5 |
|
Greater Poland |
3455.5 |
3462.2 |
3467.0 |
3472.6 |
3475.3 |
3481.6 |
3489.2 |
3494.0 |
3498.7 |
3496.5 |
3489.1 |
3493.6 |
|
West Pomeranian |
1722.7 |
1721.4 |
1718.9 |
1715.4 |
1710.5 |
1708.2 |
1705.5 |
1701.0 |
1696.2 |
1688.0 |
1676.9 |
1640.6 |
The population of Poland in 2011-2022 grew in Warsaw (an increase of 5.15%), in the Lesser Poland, Masovian and Pomeranian voivodeships (an increase of 2.46%, 4.24% and 2.62%, respectively). In the vast majority of Polish voivodships in 2022 there is a decrease in the local population which decreased from 0.97% (Lower Silesian) to 7.82% (Holy Cross Voivodeship).
As of 2022, a large population lives in the Silesian Voivodeship with a rich historical heritage (11.51% of the Polish population or 4.4 million people), the largest in territory Masovian Voivodeship (14.59% of the Polish population or 5.5 million people) as well as in the western region of Poland - Greater Poland Voivodeship (9,14% of the Polish population or 3.5 million people). The least populated were the border Lubuskie Voivodeship (2.59% of the Polish population or 0.98 million people), the least in territory Opole Voivodeship (2.57% of the Polish population or 0.94 million people) and the border Podlaskie Voivodeship (3.03 % of the population of Poland or 1.1 million people).
It should be noted that, in 2022, the population in Warsaw alone exceeds the population in some regions. Among them are the West Pomeranian Voivodeship with a population of 1.6 million, the Warmian-Masurian Voivodeship with a population of 1.4 million and the Swi^tokrzyskie Voivodeship (1.2 million) as well as the aforementioned Podlaskie Voivodeship (1.1 million people), Lubuskie Voivodeships with a population of 0.9 million people, respectively
In turn, the population of Spain lives in 17 autonomous communities, namely Andalusia, Aragon, Asturias, Valencia, Galicia, Extremadura, Cantabria, Castilla-La Mancha, Castilla-Leon, Catalonia, La Rioja, Madrid, Murcia, Navarre, The Basque Country, the Balearic Islands and the Canary Islands as well as the 2 autonomous cities of Melilla and Ceuta located on the Mediterranean and North African coasts, respectively (Table 3).
Table 3
Population by regions of Spain (2011-2022), thousand people. (Source: National Statistics Institute, 2022[23; 24])
Regions |
2011 |
2012 |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
|
Andalusia |
8424.1 |
8450.0 |
8440.3 |
8402.3 |
8399.0 |
8388.1 |
8379.8 |
8384.4 |
8414.2 |
8371.0 |
8472.4 |
8538.4 |
|
Aragon |
1346.3 |
1349.5 |
1347.2 |
1325.4 |
1317.8 |
1308.6 |
1308.8 |
1308.7 |
1319.3 |
1347.1 |
1326.3 |
1315.5 |
|
Asturias |
1081.5 |
1077.4 |
1068.2 |
1061.8 |
1051.2 |
1042.6 |
1035.0 |
1028.2 |
1022.8 |
1084.3 |
1011.8 |
1005.4 |
|
Cantabria |
593.1 |
593.9 |
591.9 |
588.7 |
585.2 |
582.2 |
580.3 |
580.2 |
581.1 |
582.9 |
584.5 |
585.2 |
|
Ceuta |
82.4 |
84.0 |
84.2 |
85.0 |
84.3 |
84.5 |
85.0 |
85.1 |
84.8 |
84.2 |
83.5 |
82.8 |
|
Castilla and Leon |
2558.5 |
2546.1 |
2519.9 |
2494.8 |
2472.1 |
2447.5 |
2425.8 |
2409.2 |
2399.5 |
2394.9 |
2383.1 |
2376.0 |
|
Castilla-La Mancha |
2115.3 |
2121.9 |
2101.0 |
2078.6 |
2059.2 |
2041.6 |
2031.5 |
2026.8 |
2032.9 |
2045.2 |
2049.6 |
2058.0 |
|
Canary Islands |
2126.8 |
2118.3 |
2118.7 |
2104.8 |
2100.3 |
2101.9 |
2108.1 |
2127.7 |
2153.4 |
2176.0 |
2173.0 |
2261.7 |
|
Catalonia |
7539.6 |
7570.9 |
7553.7 |
7518.9 |
7508.1 |
7522.6 |
7555.8 |
7600.1 |
7675.2 |
7780.5 |
7763.3 |
7710.1 |
|
Extremadura |
1109.4 |
1108.1 |
1104.0 |
1099.6 |
1093.0 |
1087.8 |
1079.9 |
1072.9 |
1067.7 |
1064.0 |
1059.5 |
1051.7 |
|
Galicia |
2795.4 |
2781.5 |
2765.9 |
2748.7 |
2732.3 |
2718.5 |
2708.3 |
2701.7 |
2699.5 |
2701.8 |
2695.6 |
2693.5 |
|
Balearic Islands |
1113.1 |
1119.4 |
1111.7 |
1103.4 |
1104.5 |
1107.2 |
1116.0 |
1128.9 |
1149.5 |
1171.5 |
1173.0 |
1232.3 |
|
Murcia |
1470.1 |
1474.4 |
1472.0 |
1466.8 |
1467.3 |
1464.8 |
1470.3 |
1478.5 |
1493.9 |
1511.3 |
1518.4 |
1531.1 |
|
Madrid |
6489.7 |
6498.6 |
6495.6 |
6454.4 |
6437.0 |
6467.0 |
6507.2 |
6578.1 |
6663.4 |
6779.9 |
6751.3 |
6825.0 |
|
Melilla |
78.5 |
80.8 |
83.7 |
84.5 |
85.6 |
86.0 |
86.1 |
86.4 |
86.5 |
87.1 |
86.3 |
82.8 |
|
Navarre |
642.1 |
644.6 |
644.5 |
640.8 |
640.5 |
640.6 |
643.2 |
647.6 |
654.2 |
661.2 |
661.6 |
661.8 |
|
Basque Country |
2184.6 |
2193.1 |
2191.7 |
2189.0 |
2189.3 |
2189.5 |
2194.2 |
2199.1 |
2207.8 |
2220.5 |
22134.0 |
2181.3 |
|
La Rioja |
323.0 |
323.6 |
322.0 |
319.0 |
317.1 |
315.8 |
315.4 |
315.7 |
316.8 |
319.9 |
319.8 |
316.8 |
|
Valencian Community |
5117.2 |
5129.3 |
5113.8 |
5004.8 |
4980.7 |
4960.0 |
4941.5 |
4963.7 |
5003.8 |
5057.4 |
5058.1 |
5106.2 |
As the population of Spain during the period 2011-2022 increased by 0.9% and amounted to 47.6 million people, we'll find out the regional features of this growth. Thus, the population of Spain in 2011-2022 grew in the port city of Melilla (an increase of 5.5%), in the Balearic Islands with a continental climate and in the urban agglomeration - Madrid (an increase of 10.7% and 5.16%, respectively).
As of 2022, the largest population lives in Andalusia (17.93% of Spain or 8.45 million people), Catalonia (16.20% of Spain or 7.7 million people) - autonomous communities with a Mediterranean climate, and also in Madrid (14.33% of the Spanish population or 6.8 million people) as well as Valencia with a population of 5.1 million people or 10.72% of the total Spanish population. The least populated are the autonomous cities of Melilla and Ceuta (0.17% of Spain's population or 0.8 thousand people) through a small area, La Rioja (0.67% of Spain's population or 0.3 million people), and Cantabria (1.23% of the population of Spain or 0.6 million people) as well as Navarre (1.39% of the population of Spain or 0.7 million people), which are located in northern Spain. Thus, we observe an uneven distribution of the local population in Spain which prefers to live in the coastal zone of the Mediterranean [25].
The population of Ukraine in 2011-2022 is also unevenly distributed in the context of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea, 24 regions and 2 cities of national importance - Kyiv and Sevastopol (Table 4).
Table 4
Population by regions of Ukraine (2011-2022), thousand people. Note: * - as of February 1, 2022. (Source: State Statistic Service of Ukraine, 2022[26])
Regions |
2011 |
2012 |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022* |
|
Crimea |
1963.0 |
1965.2 |
1966.2 |
х |
х |
х |
х |
х |
х |
х |
х |
х |
|
Vinnytsia |
1634.2 |
1627.0 |
1622.7 |
1603.5 |
1602.2 |
1590.4 |
1575.8 |
1553.3 |
1545.4 |
1522.0 |
1509.5 |
15077.4 |
|
Volyn |
1038.6 |
1040.0 |
1040.6 |
1040.2 |
1042.7 |
1041.0 |
1038.5 |
1032.6 |
1031.4 |
1024.7 |
1021.4 |
1020.8 |
|
Dnipropetrovsk |
3320.3 |
3307.8 |
3300.1 |
3273.3 |
3254.9 |
3230.4 |
3231.1 |
3203.2 |
3176.6 |
3138.7 |
3096.5 |
3093.2 |
|
Donetsk |
4403.2 |
4375.4 |
4359.7 |
4284.4 |
4265.1 |
4244.1 |
4200.5 |
4153.0 |
4131.8 |
4087.4 |
4059.4 |
4056.4 |
|
Zhytomyr |
1273.2 |
1268.9 |
1265.7 |
1256.7 |
1247.5 |
1240.5 |
1231.2 |
1221.0 |
1208.2 |
1196.3 |
1179.0 |
1177.6 |
|
Zakarpattia |
1250.8 |
1254.4 |
1255.6 |
1256.7 |
1259.2 |
1258.8 |
1258.2 |
1254.0 |
1253.8 |
1247.3 |
1244.5 |
1243.7 |
|
Zaporizhzhia |
1791.7 |
1785.2 |
1780.5 |
1765.1 |
1753.6 |
1739.5 |
1723.2 |
1705.0 |
1687.4 |
1665.7 |
1638.5 |
1636.3 |
|
Ivano-Frankivsk |
1380.1 |
1381.8 |
1381.9 |
1379.8 |
13824 |
1379.9 |
1377.5 |
1370.5 |
1368.1 |
1358.4 |
1351.8 |
1350.6 |
|
Kyiv |
1719.6 |
1722.1 |
1723.8 |
1723.5 |
1732.2 |
1734.5 |
1754.3 |
1762.2 |
1781.0 |
1782.8 |
1795.1 |
1795.5 |
|
Kirovohrad |
1002.4 |
995.2 |
991.4 |
974.2 |
973.2 |
965.8 |
956.3 |
939.1 |
933.1 |
913.7 |
903.7 |
902.2 |
|
Luhansk |
2272.7 |
2256.6 |
2248.0 |
2215.6 |
2205.4 |
2195.3 |
2167.8 |
2147.2 |
2135.9 |
2116.7 |
2102.9 |
2101.7 |
|
Lviv |
2540.9 |
2540.7 |
2539.6 |
2519.4 |
2534.2 |
2534.0 |
2529.6 |
2503.7 |
2512.1 |
2479.4 |
2478.1 |
2476.1 |
|
Mykolaiv |
1178.2 |
1173.5 |
1170.9 |
1163.6 |
1158.2 |
1150.1 |
1141.3 |
1130.4 |
1119.9 |
1107.7 |
1091.8 |
1090.5 |
|
Odessa |
2388.3 |
2395.2 |
2395.8 |
2385.4 |
2390.3 |
2386.5 |
2383.1 |
2369.2 |
2377.2 |
2357.0 |
2351.4 |
2349.7 |
|
Poltava |
1477.2 |
1467.8 |
1463.0 |
1441.1 |
1438.9 |
1426.8 |
1413.8 |
1392.6 |
1387.0 |
1363.7 |
1352.3 |
1350.6 |
|
Rivne |
1154.3 |
1156.9 |
1157.9 |
1160.1 |
1161.8 |
1162.8 |
1160.6 |
1156.2 |
1153.0 |
1147.4 |
1141.8 |
1140.9 |
|
Sumy |
1152.3 |
1143.2 |
1138.1 |
1121.3 |
1113.3 |
1104.5 |
1094.3 |
1079.2 |
1068.2 |
1051.3 |
1035.8 |
1034.4 |
|
Ternopil |
1080.4 |
1077.3 |
1075.3 |
1066.7 |
1065.7 |
1059.2 |
1052.3 |
1042.6 |
1038.7 |
1027.3 |
1021.7 |
1021.0 |
|
Kharkiv |
2742.2 |
2744.4 |
2740.8 |
2715.7 |
2718.6 |
2701.2 |
2694.0 |
2660.0 |
2658.5 |
2618.2 |
2598.9 |
2596.3 |
|
Kherson |
1083.4 |
1078.2 |
1075.4 |
1066.4 |
1062.4 |
1055.6 |
1047.0 |
1036.2 |
1027.9 |
1015.3 |
1001.6 |
1000.4 |
|
Khmelnytskyi |
1320.2 |
1314.0 |
1310.5 |
1298.1 |
1294.4 |
1285.3 |
1274.4 |
1261.5 |
1254.7 |
1240.6 |
1228.9 |
1227.5 |
|
Cherkasy |
1277.3 |
1268.9 |
1264.4 |
1248.2 |
1243.0 |
1231.2 |
1220.4 |
1202.7 |
1192.1 |
1174.6 |
1160.7 |
1159.2 |
|
Chernivtsi |
905.3 |
907.2 |
907.8 |
906.9 |
909.9 |
908.1 |
906.7 |
901.3 |
901.6 |
893.5 |
890.4 |
890.0 |
|
Chernihiv |
1088.5 |
1077.8 |
1072.3 |
1047.1 |
1045.0 |
1033.4 |
1020.1 |
997.2 |
991.3 |
968.2 |
959.3 |
957.7 |
|
Kyiv City |
2814.3 |
2845.0 |
2856.9 |
2846.7 |
2906.6 |
2925.8 |
2934.5 |
2909.5 |
2967.4 |
2920.9 |
2952.3 |
2950.7 |
|
Sevastopol City |
381.2 |
383.4 |
384.7 |
х |
х |
х |
х |
х |
х |
х |
х |
х |
It should be noted that from 2011 to 2021 the population of Ukraine by region grew only in Kyiv, which shows an increase of 4.9% over the past 11 years, despite the national decline in population in the regional context. Manifestations of the demographic crisis for 2011-2021 can be observed in the Chernihiv region (reduction of the local population amounted to 11.87%), Kirovograd, Sumy and Cherkasy regions, where population decline amounted to more than 9.0%, as well as in Zaporizhzhia and Poltava regions (reduction of the local population amounted to more than 8.0%). This situation is caused by low birth rates which do not cover the high mortality rate, migration processes due to the attractiveness of regional and foreign labour markets as well as hostilities in the Autonomous Republic of Crimea, Sevastopol, Donetsk and Luhansk regions.
In 2021, the population of Kyiv was at the level of 2.95 million people or 7.17% of the total population of Ukraine which exceeds the population of the entire Kharkiv region (6.31% of the population of Ukraine or 2.6 million people), Lviv region (6.0% of the population of Ukraine or 2.5 million people) and Odessa region (5.7% of the population of Ukraine or 2.5 million people). The least populated were Volyn, Zhytomyr, Kirovohrad, Mykolaiv, Rivne, Sumy, Ternopil, Kherson, Cherkasy, Chernivtsi and Chernihiv regions with nearly 28% of the total population.
The full-scale invasion of Russia on the territory of Ukraine in February 2022 made significant adjustments to all spheres of life of Ukrainians and the functioning of the country as a whole. In particular, the last reporting period of the analyzed indicator is February 2022, since statistical data may be limited during martial law [27].
Carrying out a comparative analysis of the economic development of the regions of the researched countries requires a study of a set of quantitative and qualitative indicators that reflect the current state of the region's economy and the dynamics of its change. Thus, the most common approach to comparative analysis of the development level of Poland, Spain and Ukraine is the study of gross regional product per capita, the dynamics analysis of which allows to compare the level of economic development in different regions of the researched countries as well as compare countries with each other.
The level of economic development in the regions of Poland during 2011-2022 is heterogeneous (Table 5).
Table 5
GDP by regions of Poland (2010-2022), PLN billion. (Source: Statistics Poland, 2022[28])
Regions |
2011 |
2012 |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
|
Lower Silesian |
135.0 |
139.9 |
140.2 |
145.5 |
151.7 |
155.7 |
166.1 |
175.7 |
189.4 |
194.6 |
222.7 |
263.1 |
|
Kuyavian-Pomeranian |
69.7 |
72.1 |
73.9 |
76.1 |
79.7 |
82.4 |
87.3 |
93.3 |
98.7 |
102.3 |
114.9 |
133.9 |
|
Lublin |
61.5 |
64.3 |
65.8 |
67.1 |
68.7 |
71.2 |
76.4 |
79.5 |
86.1 |
86.9 |
97.5 |
112.0 |
|
Lubusz |
34.5 |
35.9 |
36.6 |
38.4 |
39.8 |
41.3 |
43.5 |
46.1 |
49.1 |
49.9 |
56.1 |
65.2 |
|
Lodz |
95.5 |
99.6 |
101.1 |
105.0 |
109.4 |
112.4 |
119.5 |
127.0 |
138.3 |
144.1 |
159.7 |
181.9 |
|
Lesser Poland |
120.7 |
125.1 |
128.1 |
134.0 |
142.1 |
148.2 |
160.3 |
172.7 |
186.2 |
189.3 |
215.8 |
246.9 |
|
Masovian |
340.1 |
356.7 |
366.3 |
381.6 |
398.9 |
412.4 |
104.3 |
109.9 |
120.3 |
120.4 |
138.4 |
168.1 |
|
Opole |
33.7 |
34.6 |
34.9 |
36.4 |
37.8 |
38.4 |
40.7 |
43.4 |
46.5 |
46.8 |
54.0 |
60.9 |
|
Subcarpathian |
60.7 |
62.9 |
65.1 |
67.4 |
70.6 |
72.5 |
77.0 |
83.1 |
89.8 |
89.2 |
101.5 |
114.7 |
|
Podlaskie |
35.7 |
36.3 |
37.5 |
38.6 |
39.6 |
40.7 |
44.2 |
46.9 |
50.9 |
52.4 |
58.4 |
68.5 |
|
Pomeranian |
89.0 |
94.5 |
95.0 |
97.8 |
103.6 |
108.2 |
116.0 |
125.0 |
136.1 |
135.3 |
157.8 |
191.4 |
|
Silesian |
202.3 |
207.3 |
206.4 |
213.6 |
222.8 |
229.0 |
244.1 |
260.5 |
277.0 |
270.9 |
314.5 |
371.2 |
|
Holy Cross |
39.6 |
40.4 |
39.9 |
41.3 |
42.6 |
43.5 |
46.3 |
49.7 |
52.7 |
53.7 |
60.4 |
66.8 |
|
Warmian-Masurian |
42.5 |
43.9 |
44.6 |
46.2 |
47.9 |
49.6 |
52.2 |
54.2 |
58.2 |
60.5 |
67.8 |
77.2 |
|
Warsaw City |
х |
х |
х |
х |
х |
х |
341.3 |
368.0 |
403.1 |
412.8 |
455.4 |
536.3 |
|
Greater Poland |
147.5 |
154.9 |
159.8 |
166.5 |
176.4 |
183.7 |
196.9 |
208.2 |
226.4 |
231.8 |
259.9 |
300.2 |
|
West Pomeranian |
58.8 |
61.1 |
61.7 |
64.4 |
67.8 |
69.3 |
73.7 |
78.3 |
84.1 |
85.8 |
96.5 |
109.3 |
As of 2022, the largest GDP in Poland was generated in Warsaw (17.48% of total GDP or PLN 536.3 billion), Silesian Voivodeship (12.1% of total GDP or PLN 371.2 billion) and in the Greater Poland Voivodeship (9.79% of total GDP or PLN 300.2 billion). Less than 5% of Poland's GDP per region was generated in Kuyavian-Pomeranian, Lublin, Lubuskie, Opole, Subcarpathian, Podlaskie, Holy Cross, Warmian-Masurian and West Pomeranian Voivodeships, which account for 26.36% of Poland's GDP in 2020.
In general, Poland demonstrates the benefits of a diversified economy. The development of the regional economy does not depend on any one sector of the industrial and agricultural economy which would generate the lion's share of Poland's GDP. In addition, Poland also does not show high dependence on exports being a country with a significant internal market which contributes to the stabilization of regional development of the Polish economy [29]. The level of consumption in the regions of Poland during 2011-2022 is growing dynamically (Table 6).
Table 6
GDP per capita by regions of Poland (2011-2022), PLN thousand. (Source: Statistics Poland, 2022[28])
Regions |
2011 |
2012 |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
|
Lower Silesian |
46.3 |
48.0 |
48.2 |
50.0 |
52.2 |
53.6 |
57.2 |
60.6 |
65.4 |
67.1 |
76.7 |
90.9 |
|
Kuyavian-Pomeranian |
33.2 |
34.4 |
35.2 |
36.4 |
38.2 |
39.5 |
41.9 |
44.9 |
47.6 |
49.4 |
56.8 |
66.5 |
|
Lublin |
28.3 |
29.6 |
30.4 |
31.2 |
32.1 |
33.3 |
35.9 |
37.5 |
40.8 |
41.3 |
47.6 |
55.2 |
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