The role and place of Iran in the US and Russian Foreign Policies

Historical background of relations between the US and Iran. Relevant factors for the US intervention. US Foreign policy goals and interests: continuity despite the changes. US Strategy towards Iran. Russian Foreign Policy and the Islamic Republic of Iran.

Рубрика Международные отношения и мировая экономика
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Язык английский
Дата добавления 28.08.2020
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Despite evident problems that caused the US removal from the treaty, and the consequences of the reintroduction of “secondary” sanctions against Iran on the currency, following the rise of Iran's unemployment rate to 13.8% and inflation rate to 55% in 2018, the agreement overall has to be considered ad a successful agreement.Cordesman, Anthony H., Iran and the United States: The Nuclear Issue. MIDDLE EAST POLICY, VOL. XV, NO. 1, SPRING 2008 [access: 10 May 2020] It showed that, despite the different understandings the topic and the opposite considerations of Iran as threat, Russia and the US agreed on finding a common solution.

The reason why I do not consider the US withdraw from the agreement as a total “defeat” of the deal is because there are many other factors not related to nuclear issues influencing the bad conduct of the events. By the simple analysis of the points that the US mentioned as violation of the deal, such as the stop funding the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, Hezbollah, and other terrorist groups, or the expansion of Iran's influence in Iraq and Syria, or the failure to remote Iranian influence in Lebanon, it can be easily observed that the all the accusations are related to the conflictual relationship between US and Iran in general; they are all related to the US influence in the Middle East. The problem was not the deal itself, but the nature of the confrontation that we previously analysed. International theorists attribute Trump's removal of the US from the agreement a coherent move of his campaign rhetoric, based on pressures on US Middle Eastern allies and elimination of past administration moves. This shows how the US are not very interested in specific terms of the deal, but rather the possibility of regime-change within Iran. Fadaie S., Contending theories: realism and liberalism in the nuclear twenty-first century, International Relations Theory, 5 December 2018 [available at:https://blogs.ubc.ca/shakiba/2018/12/05/contending-theories-realism-and-liberalism-in-the-nuclear-twenty-first-century/ ] [access: 23 May 2020]

3.5 Reasons behind Nuclear Iran

In the previous sections we discussed the reasons why the US and Russia wanted to limit Iran's nuclear power. However, I think it is important, in the light of my analysis, to understand why Iran wanted to develop this power, because it will put in a brighter light some aspects of the relationship with the US and for the last considerations. According to some authors from the realist theory, the reason behind the nuclear Iran is a strong insecurity and fear for the US as super power in the Middle East. The realist Mearsheimer considered survival as the “fundamental driver of state behaviour.” Mearsheimer, John J. “Nuclear Weapons and Deterrence in Europe.” International Security, vol. 9, no. 3, 1984, pp. 19-46. JSTOR, [available at: www.jstor.org/stable/2538586. ][Accessed 16 May 2020.] Neo-realists stated that states seek nuclear weapons technology in order to promote security through active means of deterrence. ibidem Iran's sense of insecurity for US expansion brought to the development of nuclear weapons e to its continuous improvement. A theorised by the realist theory, weaker powers will try to balance the strongest ones by ones with alliances - with Russia against the US, for instance - and with instruments for its security.

Conclusion

After the analysis of all these elements, this deal, in my opinion, represents a positive step between Russia and the US, since it managed to merge the two Foreign Policies towards Iran, showing the possibility of future deals. What really matter is the establishment of the agreement as a deal that saw Russia and the US, for the first time, on the same side. It managed to rise strong hopes for the peaceful resolution of other international disputes through the engagement of different stakeholders. This agreement shows a concrete and real example of negotiations, proving that international security issues, sometimes might overcome national interests, and it is still considered as one of the greatest triumphs of international peace talks ibidem. Deals can be made, despite differences. Of course the fact that US withdraw from the agreement can be seen as a failure. However, a successful agreement on nuclear issues will never be reached without a concrete reassurance from the US about its intensions, its relationship with US allies in the area and about its non-domination in the area. Moreover, it will never be reached without multilateral negotiations. Until the US will maintain this hegemonic goal in the area and Iran is worried about it, a successful deal will never be reached and a positive cooperation will never be possible. However, in the meanwhile, the JCPOA showed the possibility to find a common path for achieving international goals, such as peaceful stability.

Conclusion

This thesis aimed at analysing the American and Russian Foreign Policies towards Iran, in order to understand the relationship existing between them. The comparison of their conduct provided me with all the elements needed for answering to the main argument of my research. Despite the different interests and mode of actions, can the US and Russian foreign policies in regards to Iran match?

The examination made under the concept of cooperation internationally accepted by the community and theorised by Keohane establishes that “cooperation occurs when actors adjust their behaviour to the actual or anticipated preferences.” Keohane R., After Hegemony: Coopeartion and Discord in the World Political Economy, Princeton University Press, 1984.

The analysis of the historical events and the main goals set by the American and Russian administration lead us to identify two extremely different conducts. The US and Iran have a relationship of confrontation, because of the nature of the United States as “Great Power” and its perception of being a “Hegemony”, which led the US to adopt an aggressive conduct towards Iran, especially after the Iranian Revolution, when Washington started losing position in the Middle East. The American agenda of the 21st century made the cooperation impossible, because the national goals set were in contrast with the Iranian interests. Moreover, despite changes in the administrations, the main goal, due to “American Exceptionalism”, have not undergone significant changes. The defeat of terroristic organisation and the no-proliferation of nuclear weapons for national and international security from the American side and the Iranian support to Hezbollah and Hamas and the development of nuclear program to achieve a hegemonic power in the region made the two counties in bitter contradiction. Iran was perceived as a dangerous threat, which led to an aggressive foreign policy without possibility of improvement, unless there is a change in the adaptation to the preferences of the other country in the near future.

Russia and Iran, on the other side, have a different relationship. According to the definition of the cooperation we can conclude that there is no proper cooperation; Russia Foreign policy towards Iran consists in practical achievements of short-term interests in the area, such as marginal economic interests for the instauration of a strategic cooperation with Iran, in order to achieve long-term goal. Russia's main goal is, indeed, to regain the status of “Great Power” and reobtain prestige in the international arena. However, unlike the Iranian relationship with the US, Russia and the Islamic Republic are not in a confrontation because, although Iran is not considered nor essential issue neither a threat to be controlled, Russia can count on the Iranian necessary dependence on arms and anti-Western aid from Moscow. This allows Russian to adopt an “ambiguous diplomacy”, in order to be considered a negotiator in the international multipolar system, leaving open the possibility of authentic cooperation.

The examination of the two policies and the comparison of the main Russian and American goals and interests evidenced significant contrast, making difficult any cooperation and possibility to set common objectives. However, despite the different approached that the two powers had towards Iran - due to the different national interests and goals - the Russian and American foreign policies have found a common ground with one of the most debated topic of the current international politics, the nuclear issue. In particular, they managed to agree on the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, a historic achievement designed to ensure that Iran's nuclear programme will be exclusively peaceful and for energy needs in return for UN, EU and US nuclear-related sanctions relief. The nuclear issue, indeed, represented the opportunity for Russia to regain prestige on global level and for the US an achievement of one of the main goals of his agenda, limiting Iran's nuclear empowerment and ensuring national and international security. Despite the Trump's administration withdraw from the deal and the failure of the agreement, it can still be considered as a great achievement. The failure of the deal, indeed, is related to the controversial nature of the relationship between the US and Iran and it is not directly related to nuclear issues. In my opinion, the only way to have a stable agreement that last over time is linked to a change in American strategy. The US should reassure Iran about its intention, about its relationship with US allies in the Middle Eastern region and about the negotiation that will be held in a multilateral system. Until there is this conflictual relationship due to hegemonic threats, a positive relationship on different issues cannot be possible. Until the US has the goal, as theorised by realist theories, to be a hegemonic power in the region, cooperation will never be achieved. However, this agreement demonstrated that US and Russian foreign policies can match for common international interests, rise strong hopes for the peaceful resolution.

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