Component analysis of the developmental vector of urban and district sociogeosystems (on example of Kharkiv and Volyn regions of Ukraine)

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Component analysis of the developmental vector of urban and district sociogeosystems (on example of Kharkiv and Volyn regions of Ukraine)

Ievgeniia Telebienieva, Taras Pogrebskyi

Summary

UDC 911.3

COMPONENT ANALYSIS OF THE DEVELOPMENTAL VECTOR OF URBAN AND DISTRICT SOCIOGEOSYSTEMS (ON EXAMPLE OF KHARKIV AND VOLYN REGIONS OF UKRAINE)

Ievgeniia Telebienieva, Taras Pogrebskyi

The article deals with methodological questions about using component analysis to analyze the socio-economic development and the health care system development of urban and district sociogeosystems. It is proposed together with a common vector analysis to explore its projection on the axis of space - for the time-derivative of each process parameter in set of changes that makes it possible to study the development of sociogeosystem at the level of each parameter. Specific examples of using this method for the analysis of socio-economic development of the urban sociogeosystem of Kharkiv region and for analysis of health care system development of the district sociogeosystem of Volyn region are given.

With the development of the methodology of scientific research increases the degree of abstraction methods and techniques of knowledge. Today is particularly noticeable methodological evolution of science that have not yet reached a high level of formalization of the conceptual apparatus and so new, not even a very big step in this direction give very reliable results. This article deals with methodological questions about using component analysis to analyze the socio-economic development and the health care system development of urban and district sociogeosystems. It is proposed together with a common vector analysis to explore its projection on the axis of space - for the time-derivative of each process parameter in set of changes that makes it possible to study the development of sociogeosystem at the level of each parameter. This makes it possible to move from an overall assessment of social and economic development and health care system development in the integral form to the assessment for individual components (parameters), which makes sense, for example, in the tasks of planning, forecasting and optimization of development. Specific recommendations for improving of social and economic development and health care system development can be obtained by analyzing the change in the index of statistical parameters of a specific sociogeosystems. The detail analysis at the level of each parameter allows significantly increase the threshold monitoring and consider all the features of the development process for rapid response to critical situations.

Key words: social and economic development, health care system, urban sociogeosystem, district sociogeosystem, developmenal vector, time-derivative of parameters.

Анотація

КОМПОНЕНТНИЙ АНАЛІЗ ВЕКТОРУ РОЗВИТКУ МІСЬКИХ І РАЙОННИХ СОЦІОГЕОСИСТЕМ (НА ПРИКЛАДІ ХАРКІВСЬКОЇ ТА ВОЛИНСЬКОЇ ОБЛАСТЕЙ УКРАЇНИ)

Євгенія Телебєнєва, Тарас Погребський

У статті розглянуто методологічні питання з використання компонентного аналізу для аналізу соціально-економічного розвитку та системи охорони здоров'я міських та районних соціогеосистем. Пропонується разом із загальним аналізом вектора досліджувати його проекції на осі простору - за часовими похідними кожного параметру процесу встановлюються їх зміни, що дає можливість вивчати розвиток соціогеосистем на рівні кожного параметру. Наводяться конкретні приклади використання методики для аналізу соціально-економічного розвитку міської соціогеосистеми Харківської області та аналізу системи охорони здоров'я районної соціогеосистеми Волинської області.

Ключові слова: соціально-економічний розвиток, система охорони здоров'я, міська соціогеосистема, районна соціогеосистема, вектор розвитку, часові похідні параметрів.

Аннотация

КОМПОНЕНТНЫЙ АНАЛИЗ ВЕКТОРА РАЗВИТИЯ ГОРОДСКИХ И РАЙОННЫХ СОЦИОГЕОСИСТЕМ (НА ПРИМЕРЕ ХАРЬКОВСКОЙ И ВОЛЫНСКОЙ ОБЛАСТЕЙ УКРАИНЫ)

The main material

To understand and to explain the dynamics of social and economic development and health care system development requires a detailed analysis of substantial changes of social and economic development and health care system development for the corresponding period of time calculated in a multidimensional attribute space (MAS), for which we used component analysis of the developmental vector. Its idea is based on the definition of vector projections on each axle of MAS with subsequent analysis of their changes. This makes it possible to move from an overall assessment of social and economic development and health care system development in the integral form to the assessment for individual components (parameters), which makes sense, for example, in the tasks of planning, forecasting and optimization of development management (in the context of the concept of sustainable development), management of resources and more. In such problems it is important to know the fate ("contributions") of each parameter in the overall development of the sociogeosystem and to find the "bottleneck" of this process to accurately targeted intervention [2, 4].

From the standpoint of mathematics indicated task is to calculate the time derivative of each process parameters for the relevant accounting period of time and essentially has two options solution: qualitative and quantitative. Qualitative decision involves determining only the sign of the time derivative, the finding of quality parameter changes (increases, decreases or no change), followed by coding events at a nominal scale. Quantitative decision is to determine not only the characters, but the size of the original, which gives a more accurate estimate of the relative scale events, and do not require the use of indexes and output (measurable) values. The fact that the procedure for calculating the index is constructed so that regardless of the content of the parameter (positive or negative) indices clearly defined as directly proportional to the increase in symptoms or quality of the process. For example, a "negative" rate - death rate has an index, which corresponds to an increase in reduction rate. In this paper, we limited only by qualitative descriptions in solution of the problem, as the most common.

Calculating the time derivatives have three possible outcomes:

1) if the parameter during the calculation period remained unchanged (the process by a considerable margin stable), the derivative is 0 and that result is assigned code 0; sociogeosystem urban health development

2) if the parameter is reduced (the process behind it regresses), the derivative is negative, in accordance with result code -1;

3) if the parameter increases (process behind it progresses), the derivative is positive, in which case the result code 1.

The proposed code selection (split into three groups for a nominal scale) is suitable for further analysis. Thus, in the aggregate indices of statistical parameters of social and economic development and health care system development, its enough to calculate the amount of codes of corresponding derivative groups. The total amount of code shows adjustments prevail. For general research of the process qualitative analysis is sufficient to assess the overall changes of the vector components. In solving applied problems of process of control, optimization, monitoring or forecasting, is necessary to make quantitative component analysis that determines the specific corrective change in control process parameters [2, 5].

From the above it is clear that specific recommendations for improving of social and economic development and health care system development can be obtained by analyzing the change in the index of statistical parameters of a specific sociogeosystems. This article presents the results of the analysis for two sociogeosystems. One - urban sociogeosystem as an example of the worst dynamics of social and economic development and the second - district sociogeosystem, as an example of the best health care system development.

Based on the distribution of urban and regional sociogeosystems on the phase plane as an example were chosen the city of Izjum (Kharkiv region) and Lubomilskiy district of Volyn region. For ease of analysis the data in tables were grouped by the largest amount of change of the index codes in ascending order. Accordingly, in the first lines of tables were grouped the most problematic parameters that need attention in the first place, and in the end - the parameters by which sociogeosystems has steady progress.

As seen from table 1, during the research period in the city of Izjum is seen a steady or partial deterioration of socio-economic development. The result of above is a decline in the level and quality of life, unemployment, the outflow of the working population of the city. The priority of local authorities and other public institutions is to provide people with jobs, modernization of production, providing enterprises with modern technology and equipment. Equally important is the improvement of social protection.

Practical absence of any dynamics for the city of Izjum is observed in terms of the number of registered citizens who are not engaged in economic activity (which remains unchanged) and indicators of capital investment in the city, because in the city there are no businesses with new technologies and equipment, resulting of which is non competitiveness of enterprises in the global market and closing of them.

Variable but generally almost zero dynamics observed in the number of business organizations, but the total land area in farms is unchanged.

Some progress is observed in the whole volume of industrial production per capita, but the process is due to departures. Most of people went to the regional center - the city of Kharkiv in search of jobs.

Table 1. Dynamics of indices statistical parameters of social and economic development in the city of Izjum (Kharkiv region)

Note: The accounting periods: 1-2006-2007; 2-2007-2008; 3-2008-2009; 4-2009-2010; 5-2010-2011; 6-2011-2012.

Table 2. Dynamics of indices statistical parameters of health care system development in Lubomilskiy district of Volyn region

Note: The accounting periods: 1 - 2007-2008; 2 - 2008-2009; 3 - 2009-2010; 4 - 2010-2011; 5 - 2011-2012.

Table 2 shows data on Lubomilskiy district, which is characterized by improving the status and conditions of health care system development. In the di...