Democratic development in the modern world: modeling paths of political changes

0

31

0

0

0

0

acisr

0

32

0

0

0

0

acisu

0

33

0

0

0

0

aciw

0

34

0

0

0

0

aciwr

0

35

0

0

0

0

epiehwat

0

36

0

0

0

0

empprfil

0

0

37

0

0

0

empprilo

0

0

38

0

0

0

empprmil

0

0

39

0

0

0

emppryfi

0

0

40

0

0

0

emppryil

0

0

41

0

0

0

empprymi

0

0

42

0

0

0

lfpfilo1

0

0

43

0

0

0

lfpilo15

0

0

44

0

0

0

lfpmilo1

0

0

45

0

0

0

lfpyfilo

0

0

46

0

0

0

lfpyilo

0

0

47

0

0

0

lfpymilo

0

0

48

0

0

0

gas_prod

0

0

0

49

0

0

gas_valu

0

0

0

50

0

0

gas_val1

0

0

0

51

0

0

oil_prod

0

0

0

0

52

0

oil_valu

0

0

0

0

53

0

oil_val1

0

0

0

0

54

0

gdpcapcu

0

0

0

0

0

55

gnicap11

0

0

0

0

0

56

gnicappp

0

0

0

0

0

57

ipu_l_s

0

0

0

0

0

0

ipu_l_w

0

0

0

0

0

0

wdi_afpt

0

0

0

0

0

0

gea_ea1b

0

0

0

0

0

0

gea_ea2a

0

0

0

0

0

0

gea_ea2b

0

0

0

0

0

0

gea_ea3a

0

0

0

0

0

0

gea_ea3b

0

0

0

0

0

0

gea_ea4a

0

0

0

0

0

0

gea_ea4b

0

0

0

0

0

0

gea_ea5a

0

0

0

0

0

0

gea_ea5b

0

0

0

0

0

0

gea_ea6a

0

0

0

0

0

0

gea_ea6b

0

0

0

0

0

0

wdi_inte

0

0

0

0

0

0

Table 6

	PParty	Educ
ef_carb	0	0
ef_ef	0	0
co2	0	0
epi_acsa	0	0
epi_eh	0	0
epi_epi	0	0
epi_wats	0	0
undp_hdi	0	0
acel	0	0
acelr	0	0
acelu	0	0
acis	0	0
acisr	0	0
acisu	0	0
aciw	0	0
aciwr	0	0
epiehwat	0	0
empprfil	0	0
empprilo	0	0
empprmil	0	0
emppryfi	0	0
emppryil	0	0
empprymi	0	0
lfpfilo1	0	0
lfpilo15	0	0
lfpmilo1	0	0
lfpyfilo	0	0
lfpyilo	0	0
lfpymilo	0	0
gas_prod	0	0
gas_valu	0	0
gas_val1	0	0
oil_prod	0	0
oil_valu	0	0
oil_val1	0	0
gdpcapcu	0	0
gnicap11	0	0
gnicappp	0	0
ipu_l_s	58	0
ipu_l_w	59	0
wdi_afpt	60	0
gea_ea1b	0	61
gea_ea2a	0	62
gea_ea2b	0	63
gea_ea3a	0	64
gea_ea3b	0	65
gea_ea4a	0	66
gea_ea4b	0	67
gea_ea5a	0	68
gea_ea5b	0	69
gea_ea6a	0	70

Table 7. BETA

	ExMinima	OppLiber	Maximali	Minimali
ExMinima	0	0	73	74
OppLiber	0	0	0	0
Maximali	0	0	0	0
Minimali	0	0	75	0

Table 8. GAMMA

	Pollut	Health	Labor	Gas	Oil	Econ
ExMinima	0	0	0	0	0	0
OppLiber	0	0	0	0	78	0
Maximali	0	0	0	0	80	0

Table 9. PHI

	Pollut	Health	Labor	Gas	Oil	Econ
Pollut	0
Health	83	0
Labor	84	85	0
Gas	86	87	88	0
Oil	89	90	91	92	0
Econ	93	94	95	96	97	0
PParty	98	99	100	101	102	103
Educ	104	105	106	107	108	109

Table 10. THETA-EPS

fh_ep	fh_feb	fh_fog	fh_ipoli	fh_pair	fh_cl
111	112	113	114	115	116
fh_pr	p_autoc	rsf_pfi	vdem_dl_	vdem_edc	vdem_ega
117	118	119	120	121	122
vdem_gen	vdem_lib	vdem_par	p_polity	p_xconst	p_xrcomp
123	124	125	126	127	128

Table 11. THETA-DELTA

ef_carb	ef_ef	co2	epi_acsa	epi_eh	epi_epi
130	131	132	133	134	135
epi_wats	undp_hdi	acel	acelr	acelu	acis
136	137	138	139	140	141
acisr	acisu	aciw	aciwr	epiehwat	empprfil
142	143	144	145	146	147
empprilo	empprmil	emppryfi	emppryil	empprymi	lfpfilo1
148	149	150	151	152	153
lfpilo15	lfpmilo1	lfpyfilo	lfpyilo	lfpymilo	gas_prod
154	155	156	157	158	159
gas_valu	gas_val1	oil_prod	oil_valu	oil_val1	gdpcapcu
160	161	162	163	164	165
gnicap11	gnicappp	ipu_l_s	ipu_l_w	wdi_afpt	gea_ea1b
166	167	168	169	170	171
gea_ea2a	gea_ea2b	gea_ea3a	gea_ea3b	gea_ea4a	gea_ea4b
172	173	174	175	176	177

Society Measurement

Number of Iterations = 39

LISREL Estimates (Maximum Likelihood)

Table 12. LAMBDA-Y

	ExMinima	OppLiber	Maximali	Minimali
fh_ep	0.055	- -	- -	- -
	(0.015)
	3.784
fh_feb	0.057	- -	- -	- -
	(0.015)
	3.780
fh_fog	0.046	- -	- -	- -
	(0.012)
	3.778
fh_ipoli	0.041	- -	- -	- -
	(0.011)
	3.792
fh_pair	0.049	- -	- -	- -
	(0.013)
	3.768
fh_cl	- -	0.152	- -	- -
		(0.009)
		16.781
fh_pr	- -	0.168	- -	- -
		(0.010)
		16.362
p_autoc	- -	0.163	- -	- -
		(0.015)
		10.732
rsf_pfi	- -	0.112	- -	- -
		(0.009)
		12.721
vdem_dl_	- -	- -	0.169	- -
			(0.012)
			13.676
vdem_edc	- -	- -	0.183	- -
			(0.011)
			16.066
vdem_ega	- -	- -	0.131	- -
			(0.011)
			12.164
vdem_gen	- -	- -	0.118	- -
			(0.009)
			13.388
vdem_lib	- -	- -	0.194	- -
			(0.012)
			16.085
vdem_par	- -	- -	0.107	- -
			(0.008)
			13.117
p_polity	- -	- -	- -	0.259
				(0.023)
				11.434
p_xconst	- -	- -	- -	0.080
				(0.007)
				11.320
p_xrcomp	- -	- -	- -	0.039
				(0.004)
				10.512
p_xrreg	- -	- -	- -	0.149
				(0.019)
				8.027

Table 13. LAMBDA-X

	Pollut	Health	Labor	Gas	Oil	Econ
ef_carb	0.183	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -
	(0.010)
	18.006
ef_ef	0.212	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -
	(0.013)
	16.714
co2	0.533	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -
	(0.035)
	15.404
epi_acsa	- -	0.217	- -	- -	- -	- -
		(0.013)
		16.386
epi_eh	- -	0.167	- -	- -	- -	- -
		(0.011)
		15.285
epi_epi	- -	0.133	- -	- -	- -	- -
		(0.009)
		14.663
epi_wats	- -	0.242	- -	- -	- -	- -
		(0.017)
		14.494
undp_hdi	- -	0.145	- -	- -	- -	- -
		(0.009)
		16.340
acel	- -	0.277	- -	- -	- -	- -
		(0.018)
		15.746
acelr	- -	0.341	- -	- -	- -	- -
		(0.021)
		16.082
acelu	- -	0.162	- -	- -	- -	- -
		(0.013)
		12.879
acis	- -	0.286	- -	- -	- -	- -
		(0.016)
		17.397
acisr	- -	0.313	- -	- -	- -	- -
		(0.019)
		16.609
acisu	- -	0.227	- -	- -	- -	- -
		(0.014)
		16.221
aciw	- -	0.129	- -	- -	- -	- -
		(0.009)
		14.646
aciwr	- -	0.167	- -	- -	- -	- -
		(0.011)
		14.494
epiehwat	- -	0.242	- -	- -	- -	- -
		(0.014)
		17.759
empprfil	- -	- -	0.138	- -	- -	- -
			(0.010)
			14.007
empprilo	- -	- -	0.109	- -	- -	- -
			(0.007)
			16.076
empprmil	- -	- -	0.078	- -	- -	- -
			(0.007)
			11.614
emppryfi	- -	- -	0.161	- -	- -	- -
			(0.010)
			16.179
emppryil	- -	- -	0.147	- -	- -	- -
			(0.009)
			17.301
empprymi	- -	- -	0.131	- -	- -	- -
			(0.009)
			14.193
lfpfilo1	- -	- -	0.129	- -	- -	- -
			(0.010)
			12.900
lfpilo15	- -	- -	0.096	- -	- -	- -
			(0.006)
			15.558
lfpmilo1	- -	- -	0.614	- -	- -	- -
			(0.056)
			11.018
lfpyfilo	- -	- -	0.151	- -	- -	- -
			(0.010)
			15.429
lfpyilo	- -	- -	0.132	- -	- -	- -
			(0.008)
			16.728
lfpymilo	- -	- -	0.110	- -	- -	- -
			(0.008)
			13.024
gas_prod	- -	- -	- -	0.590	- -	- -
				(0.032)
				18.294
gas_valu	- -	- -	- -	0.876	- -	- -
				(0.048)
				18.294
gas_val1	- -	- -	- -	0.120	- -	- -
				(0.007)
				18.294
oil_prod	- -	- -	- -	- -	0.679	- -
					(0.037)
					18.295
oil_valu	- -	- -	- -	- -	0.400	- -
					(0.022)
					18.295
oil_val1	- -	- -	- -	- -	0.550	- -
					(0.030)
					18.295
gdpcapcu	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -	0.206
						(0.014)
						15.214
gnicap11	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -	0.191
						(0.010)
						18.337
gnicappp	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -	0.187
						(0.010)
						18.165
ipu_l_s	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -
ipu_l_w	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -
wdi_afpt	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -
gea_ea1b	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -
gea_ea2a	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -
gea_ea2b	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -
gea_ea3a	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -
gea_ea3b	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -
gea_ea4a	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -
gea_ea4b	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -
gea_ea5a	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -
gea_ea5b	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -
gea_ea6a	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -
gea_ea6b	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -
wdi_inte	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -	- -

Table 14

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	PParty	Educ
ef_carb	- -	- -
ef_ef	- -	- -
co2	- -	- -
epi_acsa	- -	- -
epi_eh	- -	- -
epi_epi	- -	- -
epi_wats	- -	- -
undp_hdi	- -	- -
acel	- -	- -
acelr	- -	- -
acelu	- -	- -
acis	- -	- -
acisr	- -	- -
acisu	- -	- -
aciw	- -	- -
aciwr	- -	- -
epiehwat	- -	- -
empprfil	- -	- -
empprilo	- -	- -
empprmil	- -	- -
emppryfi	- -	- -
emppryil	- -	- -
empprymi	- -	- -
lfpfilo1	- -	- -
lfpilo15	- -	- -
lfpmilo1	- -	- -
lfpyfilo	- -	- -
lfpyilo	- -	- -
lfpymilo	- -	- -
gas_prod	- -	- -
gas_valu	- -	- -
gas_val1	- -	- -
oil_prod	- -	- -
oil_valu	- -	- -
oil_val1	- -	- -
gdpcapcu	- -	- -
gnicap11	- -	- -
gnicappp	- -	- -
ipu_l_s	0.279	- -
	(0.015)
	18.844
ipu_l_w	0.518	- -
	(0.040)
	12.959
wdi_afpt	0.259	- -
	(0.026)
	10.158
gea_ea1b	- -	0.243
		(0.015)
		15.915
gea_ea2a	- -	0.388
		(0.022)
		17.522
gea_ea2b	- -	0.286
		(0.017)
		17.141
gea_ea3a	- -	0.420
		(0.023)
		18.018
gea_ea3b	- -	0.313
		(0.018)
		17.547
gea_ea4a	- -	0.435
		(0.024)
		17.942
gea_ea4b	- -	0.341
		(0.019)
		17.800